Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.22
avec la cote maximale 17.00
avec la cote maximale 6.90
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Porto (Local) : 78.26% ; Alverca (Visiteur) : 6.86% ; Match nul : 14.88%. Pour Alverca (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 14.58. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 17.00, soit une espérance positive de +16.58%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.31%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +16.58%E +0.975%K +1.04%G +0.172% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.50%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +13.15%E +0.797%K +0.848%G +0.112% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -12.19%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.50%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +13.15%E +0.797%K +0.848%G +0.112% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -12.19%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.43%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.80%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.86%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.86%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.94%EV -5.31%E -4.38%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.62%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.84%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.50%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 14.83I 6.74%NM 6.43%EV +1.70%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 6.78I 14.75%NM 14.07%EV +0.903%E +0.133%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.18%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.56%EV -2.28%E -0.160%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.26%EV -2.52%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -3.99%E -0.285%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV -3.99%E -0.285%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.72%EV -5.31%E -4.38%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -4.75%E -0.743%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -4.75%E -0.743%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -18.15%E -3.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 16:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 16:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.79%EV -11.57%E -10.24%K -88.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.36%EV -7.73%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 16:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.46%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -14.28%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.46%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -14.28%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.21%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.20%EV +2.69%E +0.390%K +0.456%G +0.012% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.27%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.46%EV -9.22%E -7.95%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 7.75%EV -19.42%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.79%EV -1.78%E -0.269%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.58%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -21.14%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.12%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.85%EV -21.14%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.24% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.24% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.24% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.32% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.51% | 19.49I 5.13%NM 5.04% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.88% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |