StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

FC Porto v Alverca

Aanvang: 2026-08-09 17:00 UTC

Eindstand: FC Porto 2–0 Alverca

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

56 wedaanbieders (20 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

FC Porto (Thuis)

Prognose 78.26%1.28margevrije odds
EV -4.52%
Voordeel -3.71%
Kelly -20.56%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.22

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
76.19%78.19%78.25%79.80%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.131.181.181.2288.50%84.52%84.75%81.97%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Alverca (Uit)

Prognose 6.86%14.58margevrije odds
EV +16.58%
Voordeel +0.975%
Kelly +1.04%
Groei +0.172%

bij maximale odds 17.00

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
5.48%6.85%6.91%8.54%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
11.0013.4113.0017.009.09%7.46%7.69%5.88%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 14.88%6.72margevrije odds
EV +2.69%
Voordeel +0.390%
Kelly +0.456%
Groei +0.012%

bij maximale odds 6.90

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
13.20%14.96%14.83%16.65%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
5.506.116.006.9018.18%16.38%16.67%14.49%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: FC Porto (Thuis): 78.26%; Alverca (Uit): 6.86%; Gelijkspel: 14.88%. Voor Alverca (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 14.58. 17 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 17.00, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +16.58%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (56 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼GelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.31%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +16.58%E +0.975%K +1.04%G +0.172%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:30
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.50%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +13.15%E +0.797%K +0.848%G +0.112%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -12.19%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.50%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +13.15%E +0.797%K +0.848%G +0.112%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -12.19%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.43%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.80%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.86%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.86%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.94%EV -5.31%E -4.38%K -25.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.62%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 16:55
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:20
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:19
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.84%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.50%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%14.83I 6.74%NM 6.43%EV +1.70%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.07%EV +0.903%E +0.133%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-09 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.18%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.56%EV -2.28%E -0.160%K -0.172%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.26%EV -2.52%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -3.99%E -0.285%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV -3.99%E -0.285%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.72%EV -5.31%E -4.38%K -25.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -4.75%E -0.743%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -4.75%E -0.743%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 16:50
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:54
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:45
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:44
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:45
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -18.15%E -3.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:49
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 78.79%EV -11.57%E -10.24%K -88.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.36%EV -7.73%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 16:49
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.46%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -14.28%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.46%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -14.28%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.21%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.20%EV +2.69%E +0.390%K +0.456%G +0.012%9.8%2026-08-09 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 16:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 16:45
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.27%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.46%EV -9.22%E -7.95%K -57.62%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.75%EV -19.42%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.79%EV -1.78%E -0.269%K -0.317%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.58%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -21.14%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.12%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.85%EV -21.14%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 16:40
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:34
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:50
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.24%0.3%2026-08-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.24%0.3%2026-08-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.24%0.3%2026-08-09 16:55
Matchbook◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.32%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-08-09 16:55
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.51%19.49I 5.13%NM 5.04%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%1.8%2026-08-09 16:55
Kalshi◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.88%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73%2.0%2026-08-09 16:30