Language:English
Estoril v Benfica
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estoril (Local)
Prediction 9.07%11.02fair odd
EV +8.86%
Edge +0.739%
Kelly +0.806%
Growth +0.071%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.72%9.21%8.94%11.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.2510.2010.5012.0012.12%9.81%9.52%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Benfica (Visit)
Prediction 76.62%1.31fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -9.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.19%76.51%76.72%79.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.221.221.2785.47%82.06%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.31%6.99fair odd
EV +7.33%
Edge +0.977%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.083%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.44%14.28%14.34%17.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.406.277.5020.00%15.62%15.95%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estoril (Local): 9.07%; Benfica (Visit): 76.62%; Draw: 14.31%. For Estoril (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.02. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -13.82%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.74%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +7.33%E +0.977%K +1.13%G +0.083% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +8.86%E +0.739%K +0.806%G +0.071% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.28%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV +3.03%E +0.421%K +0.489%G +0.015% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.74I 8.52%NM 8.10%EV +6.51%E +0.554%K +0.606%G +0.039% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.30%EV +2.32%E +0.324%K +0.377%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 18:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.01%EV -14.72%E -1.57%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.54%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 18:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.01%EV -14.72%E -1.57%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.54%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -13.82%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.35%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -25.16%E -3.05%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.89%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -2.69%E -0.396%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -25.16%E -3.05%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.89%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -2.69%E -0.396%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.28%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.56%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.56%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.06%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV +8.86%E +0.739%K +0.806%G +0.071% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.51%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -2.48%E -0.230%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -6.27%E -0.957%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 18:41 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 18:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.27%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 10.65I 9.39%NM 8.83%EV -3.38%E -0.318%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.47%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -8.41%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +4.33%E +0.376%K +0.412%G +0.018% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -8.41%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +4.33%E +0.376%K +0.412%G +0.018% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -8.41%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.39%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.37%EV -9.85%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +4.33%E +0.376%K +0.412%G +0.018% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.16%EV -2.70%E -2.12%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.43%EV -10.27%E -1.64%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.27%EV -4.99%E -4.03%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 19:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.27%EV -4.99%E -4.03%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 18:41 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.06%EV -16.08%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.05%EV -4.99%E -4.03%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 19:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:52 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:53 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:52 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 19:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%EV -18.35%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.34%EV -8.82%E -7.42%K -46.45%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 18:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 19:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 19:11 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 19:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 18:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 19:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 19:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 19:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 19:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -18.35%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -8.82%E -7.42%K -46.45%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -17.00%E -2.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 19:11 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -13.82%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -28.45%E -5.69%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 19:06 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.09% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.25% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 19:25 |