The School of Odds

Estoril v Benfica

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 19:30 UTC

Final: Estoril 1–3 Benfica

This match has already started. Odds.school analyzes matches only before kickoff, so pre-match analysis has closed. Below are the last bookmaker odds recorded before kickoff (approximately the closing line).

Closing odds

Each book's last recorded price before kickoff. I = implied probability; NM = no-margin probability (the book's implied probability with its margin/vig removed); Margin = the book's overround.

Head to Head

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%0.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%0.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%0.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Matchbook12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%0.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Smarkets12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.09%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67%1.2%2026-05-16 19:25
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.25%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-05-16 19:25
1xBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.16%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.43%3.4%2026-05-16 19:25
Pinnacle11.74I 8.52%NM 8.10%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.30%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Coolbet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.28%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%5.2%2026-05-16 18:40
Fanatics11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%5.3%2026-05-16 18:46
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.27%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%5.7%2026-05-16 19:11
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.27%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%5.7%2026-05-16 19:10
DraftKings10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%5.8%2026-05-16 18:35
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%6.1%2026-05-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%6.1%2026-05-16 18:35
LowVig.ag9.40I 10.64%NM 10.01%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.54%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%6.2%2026-05-16 18:36
BetOnline.ag9.40I 10.64%NM 10.01%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.54%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%6.2%2026-05-16 18:35
GTbets10.65I 9.39%NM 8.83%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%6.3%2026-05-16 19:25
Bovada11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.56%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%6.6%2026-05-16 18:30
BetUS11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.56%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%6.6%2026-05-16 18:30
BetMGM8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.06%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%6.6%2026-05-16 18:35
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%6.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Neds8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.89%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%6.8%2026-05-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.89%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%6.8%2026-05-16 18:35
Betr (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%6.9%2026-05-16 18:41
NordicBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%7.0%2026-05-16 18:30
Betsson11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%7.0%2026-05-16 18:40
Tipico (DE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%7.0%2026-05-16 19:25
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%7.1%2026-05-16 18:41
SportsBet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%7.1%2026-05-16 19:15
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.74%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%7.2%2026-05-16 19:15
Marathon Bet10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%7.2%2026-05-16 19:25
betPARX10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%7.2%2026-05-16 18:55
Casumo10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%7.2%2026-05-16 18:52
Grosvenor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%7.2%2026-05-16 18:53
Bally Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%7.2%2026-05-16 18:52
Bet Right10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%7.4%2026-05-16 18:41
Betclic (FR)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.06%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.05%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%7.5%2026-05-16 19:24
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%7.6%2026-05-16 19:15
PlayUp11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%7.7%2026-05-16 18:41
BetRivers10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%7.9%2026-05-16 19:11
TABtouch10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%7.9%2026-05-16 19:10
Everygame12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%7.9%2026-05-16 18:35
Unibet (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%8.2%2026-05-16 19:10
Unibet (NL)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%8.2%2026-05-16 19:11
Unibet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%8.2%2026-05-16 19:11
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%8.4%2026-05-16 19:20
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.51%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%8.5%2026-05-16 19:25
betfred_uk10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%8.6%2026-05-16 18:41
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%8.6%2026-05-16 19:25
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%8.6%2026-05-16 19:25
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%8.6%2026-05-16 19:25
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%8.6%2026-05-16 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%8.8%2026-05-16 19:11
LiveScore Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%8.8%2026-05-16 19:10
PMU (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%9.5%2026-05-16 19:10
Virgin Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%9.5%2026-05-16 19:10
Bet Victor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%9.5%2026-05-16 19:24
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.35%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%9.6%2026-05-16 19:15
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%9.7%2026-05-16 18:30
Winamax (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.27%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%9.8%2026-05-16 19:25
NetBet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.39%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.37%10.4%2026-05-16 19:25
LeoVegas10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%10.8%2026-05-16 19:11
Unibet (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.34%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%11.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%13.9%2026-05-16 19:06