مدرسة الاحتمالات

Estoril v Benfica

البداية: 2026-05-16 19:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Estoril 1–3 Benfica

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Estoril (المضيف)

التنبؤ 9.07%11.02السعر العادل
EV +8.86%
الأفضلية +0.739%
Kelly +0.806%
النمو +0.071%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.72%9.21%8.94%11.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.2510.2010.5012.0012.12%9.81%9.52%8.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Benfica (الضيف)

التنبؤ 76.62%1.31السعر العادل
EV -2.70%
الأفضلية -2.12%
Kelly -9.98%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
73.19%76.51%76.72%79.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.171.221.221.2785.47%82.06%81.97%78.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 14.31%6.99السعر العادل
EV +7.33%
الأفضلية +0.977%
Kelly +1.13%
النمو +0.083%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.44%14.28%14.34%17.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.006.406.277.5020.00%15.62%15.95%13.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -13.82%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.74%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +7.33%E +0.977%K +1.13%G +0.083%7.2%2026-05-16 19:15
Tipico (DE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +8.86%E +0.739%K +0.806%G +0.071%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.28%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV +3.03%E +0.421%K +0.489%G +0.015%7.0%2026-05-16 19:25
Pinnacle11.74I 8.52%NM 8.10%EV +6.51%E +0.554%K +0.606%G +0.039%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.30%EV +2.32%E +0.324%K +0.377%G +0.009%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Fanatics11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:46
DraftKings10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 18:35
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 18:35
LowVig.ag9.40I 10.64%NM 10.01%EV -14.72%E -1.57%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.54%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 18:36
BetOnline.ag9.40I 10.64%NM 10.01%EV -14.72%E -1.57%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.54%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 18:35
SportsBet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 19:15
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 19:15
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -13.82%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.35%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 19:15
Neds8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -25.16%E -3.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.89%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -2.69%E -0.396%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -25.16%E -3.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.89%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -2.69%E -0.396%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 18:35
Coolbet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.28%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 18:40
Bovada11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.56%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:30
BetUS11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.56%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:30
BetMGM8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.06%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:35
Everygame12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV +8.86%E +0.739%K +0.806%G +0.071%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 18:35
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.51%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Marathon Bet10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -2.48%E -0.230%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -6.27%E -0.957%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 19:25
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Betr (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 18:41
Bet Right10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 18:41
Winamax (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.27%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 19:25
GTbets10.65I 9.39%NM 8.83%EV -3.38%E -0.318%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.47%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -8.41%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 19:25
NordicBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +4.33%E +0.376%K +0.412%G +0.018%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -8.41%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 18:30
Betsson11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +4.33%E +0.376%K +0.412%G +0.018%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -8.41%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 18:40
NetBet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.39%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.37%EV -9.85%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 19:25
1xBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +4.33%E +0.376%K +0.412%G +0.018%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.16%EV -2.70%E -2.12%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.43%EV -10.27%E -1.64%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 19:25
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.27%EV -4.99%E -4.03%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 19:11
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.27%EV -4.99%E -4.03%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 19:10
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 18:41
Betclic (FR)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.06%EV -16.08%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.05%EV -4.99%E -4.03%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 19:24
betPARX10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:55
Casumo10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:52
Grosvenor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:53
Bally Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:52
BetRivers10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 19:11
TABtouch10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 19:10
Unibet (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%EV -18.35%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.34%EV -8.82%E -7.42%K -46.45%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 19:25
PlayUp11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 18:41
Unibet (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 19:10
Unibet (NL)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 19:11
Unibet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 19:11
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 19:20
betfred_uk10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:41
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 19:25
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 19:25
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 19:25
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 19:11
LiveScore Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 19:10
PMU (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 19:10
Virgin Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 19:10
Bet Victor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 19:24
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -18.35%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 18:30
LeoVegas10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -8.82%E -7.42%K -46.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -17.00%E -2.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 19:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -13.82%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -28.45%E -5.69%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 19:06
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%0.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%0.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%0.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Matchbook12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%0.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Smarkets12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.09%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67%1.2%2026-05-16 19:25
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.25%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-05-16 19:25