Oddsskolan

Estoril v Benfica

Matchstart: 2026-05-16 19:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Estoril 1–3 Benfica

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Estoril (Hemma)

Prognos 9.07%11.02rättvist odds
EV +8.86%
Fördel +0.739%
Kelly +0.806%
Tillväxt +0.071%

med antagandet om högsta odds 12.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.72%9.21%8.94%11.35%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
8.2510.2010.5012.0012.12%9.81%9.52%8.33%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Benfica (Borta)

Prognos 76.62%1.31rättvist odds
EV -2.70%
Fördel -2.12%
Kelly -9.98%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
73.19%76.51%76.72%79.23%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.171.221.221.2785.47%82.06%81.97%78.74%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 14.31%6.99rättvist odds
EV +7.33%
Fördel +0.977%
Kelly +1.13%
Tillväxt +0.083%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.44%14.28%14.34%17.57%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
5.006.406.277.5020.00%15.62%15.95%13.33%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -13.82%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.74%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +7.33%E +0.977%K +1.13%G +0.083%7.2%2026-05-16 19:15
Tipico (DE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +8.86%E +0.739%K +0.806%G +0.071%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.28%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV +3.03%E +0.421%K +0.489%G +0.015%7.0%2026-05-16 19:25
Pinnacle11.74I 8.52%NM 8.10%EV +6.51%E +0.554%K +0.606%G +0.039%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.30%EV +2.32%E +0.324%K +0.377%G +0.009%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Fanatics11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:46
DraftKings10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 18:35
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 18:35
LowVig.ag9.40I 10.64%NM 10.01%EV -14.72%E -1.57%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.54%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 18:36
BetOnline.ag9.40I 10.64%NM 10.01%EV -14.72%E -1.57%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.54%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 18:35
SportsBet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 19:15
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 19:15
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -13.82%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.35%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +0.171%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 19:15
Neds8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -25.16%E -3.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.89%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -2.69%E -0.396%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -25.16%E -3.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.89%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -2.69%E -0.396%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 18:35
Coolbet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.28%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 18:40
Bovada11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.56%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:30
BetUS11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.56%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:30
BetMGM8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.06%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:35
Everygame12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV +8.86%E +0.739%K +0.806%G +0.071%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 18:35
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.51%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.592%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Marathon Bet10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -2.48%E -0.230%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -6.27%E -0.957%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 19:25
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Betr (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 18:41
Bet Right10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 18:41
Winamax (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.27%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 19:25
GTbets10.65I 9.39%NM 8.83%EV -3.38%E -0.318%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.47%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -8.41%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 19:25
NordicBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +4.33%E +0.376%K +0.412%G +0.018%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -8.41%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 18:30
Betsson11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +4.33%E +0.376%K +0.412%G +0.018%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -8.41%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 18:40
NetBet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.39%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.37%EV -9.85%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 19:25
1xBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +4.33%E +0.376%K +0.412%G +0.018%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.16%EV -2.70%E -2.12%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.43%EV -10.27%E -1.64%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 19:25
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.27%EV -4.99%E -4.03%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 19:11
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.27%EV -4.99%E -4.03%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 19:10
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 18:41
Betclic (FR)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.06%EV -16.08%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.05%EV -4.99%E -4.03%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 19:24
betPARX10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:55
Casumo10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:52
Grosvenor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:53
Bally Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:52
BetRivers10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 19:11
TABtouch10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 19:10
Unibet (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%EV -18.35%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.34%EV -8.82%E -7.42%K -46.45%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 19:25
PlayUp11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -0.207%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 18:41
Unibet (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 19:10
Unibet (NL)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 19:11
Unibet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 19:11
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -22.89%E -2.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 19:20
betfred_uk10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:41
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 19:25
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 19:25
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 19:25
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.28%E -0.928%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 19:11
LiveScore Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -7.29%E -6.03%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 19:10
PMU (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 19:10
Virgin Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 19:10
Bet Victor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 19:24
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -18.35%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.53%E -5.35%K -29.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 18:30
LeoVegas10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -4.74%E -0.452%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.84%EV -8.82%E -7.42%K -46.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -17.00%E -2.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 19:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -13.82%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -8.06%E -6.72%K -40.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -28.45%E -5.69%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 19:06
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%0.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%0.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%0.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Matchbook12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.60%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%0.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Smarkets12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.09%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.67%1.2%2026-05-16 19:25
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.25%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-05-16 19:25