Language:English
Benfica v Académico de Viseu
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Benfica (Local)
Prediction 85.00%1.18fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -3.49%
Kelly -30.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.63%84.83%85.11%86.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.091.1394.34%91.46%91.74%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Académico de Viseu (Visit)
Prediction 4.65%21.49fair odd
EV +20.98%
Edge +0.807%
Kelly +0.839%
Growth +0.176%
assuming max odds 26.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.58%4.84%4.64%7.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.5020.2320.0026.008.00%4.94%5.00%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 10.34%9.67fair odd
EV +8.59%
Edge +0.818%
Kelly +0.905%
Growth +0.078%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.09%10.33%10.26%11.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.909.079.0010.5012.66%11.03%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Benfica (Local): 85.00%; Académico de Viseu (Visit): 4.65%; Draw: 10.34%. For Académico de Viseu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 21.49. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 26.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.22%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -4.33%E -0.469%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.09%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.64%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.80%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 18:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -18.30%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -18.30%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.76%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.59%E +0.818%K +0.905%G +0.078% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.76%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.59%E +0.818%K +0.905%G +0.078% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.47%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.25%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -17.26%E -2.16%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.58%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.06%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 19:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.29%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.97%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.60%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 22.81I 4.38%NM 4.21%EV +6.14%E +0.269%K +0.281%G +0.017% | 10.46I 9.56%NM 9.19%EV +8.18%E +0.782%K +0.865%G +0.071% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.42%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +2.37%E +0.108%K +0.113%G +0.003% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -2.28%E -0.109%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -2.28%E -0.109%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 20.50I 4.88%NM 4.55%EV -4.61%E -0.225%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -2.78%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.84%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.42%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +0.836%E +0.086%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 19:13 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.90%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.27%EV -16.24%E -0.902%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV -9.51%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 18:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.96%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -20.90%E -1.23%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.96%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -20.90%E -1.23%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.99%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV -23.22%E -1.41%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.22%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.58%EV -25.55%E -1.60%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.20%EV -9.51%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 19:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.40%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.63%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.27%EV -41.84%E -3.35%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 19:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.17% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.77% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.17% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.77% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.68% | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.39% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
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