语言:简体中文
Benfica v Académico de Viseu
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Benfica (主队)
预测 85.00%1.18公平赔率
EV -3.94%
优势 -3.49%
Kelly -30.34%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.13
博彩公司预测分布
82.63%84.83%85.11%86.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.091.091.1394.34%91.46%91.74%88.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Académico de Viseu (客队)
预测 4.65%21.49公平赔率
EV +20.98%
优势 +0.807%
Kelly +0.839%
增长率 +0.176%
假设最高赔率为 26.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.58%4.84%4.64%7.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
12.5020.2320.0026.008.00%4.94%5.00%3.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 10.34%9.67公平赔率
EV +8.59%
优势 +0.818%
Kelly +0.905%
增长率 +0.078%
假设最高赔率为 10.50
博彩公司预测分布
9.09%10.33%10.26%11.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.909.079.0010.5012.66%11.03%11.11%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Benfica (主队)：85.00%；Académico de Viseu (客队)：4.65%；平局：10.34%。 对于“Académico de Viseu (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为21.49。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为26.00，对应+20.98%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.22%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -4.33%E -0.469%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.09%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.64%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.80%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 18:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -18.30%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -18.30%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.76%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.59%E +0.818%K +0.905%G +0.078% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.76%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.59%E +0.818%K +0.905%G +0.078% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.47%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.25%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -17.26%E -2.16%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.58%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.06%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 19:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.29%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.97%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.60%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 22.81I 4.38%NM 4.21%EV +6.14%E +0.269%K +0.281%G +0.017% | 10.46I 9.56%NM 9.19%EV +8.18%E +0.782%K +0.865%G +0.071% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.42%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +2.37%E +0.108%K +0.113%G +0.003% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -2.28%E -0.109%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -2.28%E -0.109%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 20.50I 4.88%NM 4.55%EV -4.61%E -0.225%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -2.78%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.84%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.42%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +0.836%E +0.086%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 19:13 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.90%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.27%EV -16.24%E -0.902%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV -9.51%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 18:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.96%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -20.90%E -1.23%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.96%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -20.90%E -1.23%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.99%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV -23.22%E -1.41%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.22%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.58%EV -25.55%E -1.60%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.20%EV -9.51%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 19:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.40%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.63%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.27%EV -41.84%E -3.35%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 19:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.17% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.77% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.17% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.77% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.68% | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.39% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |