Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Benfica v Académico de Viseu

Inizio: 2026-08-09 19:30 UTC

Finale: Benfica 2–2 Académico de Viseu

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

45 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Benfica (Casa)

Previsione 85.00%1.18quota equa
EV -3.94%
Vantaggio -3.49%
Kelly -30.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
82.63%84.83%85.11%86.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.061.091.091.1394.34%91.46%91.74%88.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Académico de Viseu (Trasferta)

Previsione 4.65%21.49quota equa
EV +20.98%
Vantaggio +0.807%
Kelly +0.839%
Crescita +0.176%

ipotizzando la quota massima 26.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
3.58%4.84%4.64%7.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
12.5020.2320.0026.008.00%4.94%5.00%3.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 10.34%9.67quota equa
EV +8.59%
Vantaggio +0.818%
Kelly +0.905%
Crescita +0.078%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.09%10.33%10.26%11.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.909.079.0010.5012.66%11.03%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Benfica (Casa): 85.00%; Académico de Viseu (Trasferta): 4.65%; Pareggio: 10.34%. Per Académico de Viseu (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 21.49. 15 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 26.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +20.98%.

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.22%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -4.33%E -0.469%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.09%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.64%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.80%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 18:58
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -18.30%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 19:05
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -18.30%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.76%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.59%E +0.818%K +0.905%G +0.078%4.8%2026-08-09 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.76%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.59%E +0.818%K +0.905%G +0.078%4.8%2026-08-09 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.47%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.25%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -17.26%E -2.16%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.58%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013%6.9%2026-08-09 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.06%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.29%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.97%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 19:15
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.60%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%22.81I 4.38%NM 4.21%EV +6.14%E +0.269%K +0.281%G +0.017%10.46I 9.56%NM 9.19%EV +8.18%E +0.782%K +0.865%G +0.071%4.0%2026-08-09 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.42%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +2.37%E +0.108%K +0.113%G +0.003%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013%7.1%2026-08-09 19:15
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -2.28%E -0.109%K -0.114%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -2.28%E -0.109%K -0.114%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.50I 4.88%NM 4.55%EV -4.61%E -0.225%K -0.236%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -2.78%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.84%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013%5.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:30
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.42%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +0.836%E +0.086%K +0.096%G +0.001%6.4%2026-08-09 19:13
betfred_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 19:25
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.90%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.27%EV -16.24%E -0.902%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV -9.51%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 18:58
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -20.90%E -1.23%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -20.90%E -1.23%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:55
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.99%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV -23.22%E -1.41%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.22%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.58%EV -25.55%E -1.60%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.20%EV -9.51%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 19:25
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 19:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.40%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.63%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.27%EV -41.84%E -3.35%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 19:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.17%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.77%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.06%0.4%2026-08-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.17%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.77%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.06%0.4%2026-08-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.68%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.39%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%1.8%2026-08-09 19:25