Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Benfica v Académico de Viseu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 19:30 UTC

Score final : Benfica 2–2 Académico de Viseu

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Benfica (Local)

Prévision 85.00%1.18cote équitable
EV -3.94%
Avantage -3.49%
Kelly -30.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.63%84.83%85.11%86.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.091.091.1394.34%91.46%91.74%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Académico de Viseu (Visiteur)

Prévision 4.65%21.49cote équitable
EV +20.98%
Avantage +0.807%
Kelly +0.839%
Croissance +0.176%

avec la cote maximale 26.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.58%4.84%4.64%7.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
12.5020.2320.0026.008.00%4.94%5.00%3.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 10.34%9.67cote équitable
EV +8.59%
Avantage +0.818%
Kelly +0.905%
Croissance +0.078%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.09%10.33%10.26%11.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.909.079.0010.5012.66%11.03%11.11%9.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Benfica (Local) : 85.00% ; Académico de Viseu (Visiteur) : 4.65% ; Match nul : 10.34%. Pour Académico de Viseu (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 21.49. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 26.00, soit une espérance positive de +20.98%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.22%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -4.33%E -0.469%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.09%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.64%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.80%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 18:58
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -18.30%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 19:05
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -18.30%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.76%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.59%E +0.818%K +0.905%G +0.078%4.8%2026-08-09 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.76%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.59%E +0.818%K +0.905%G +0.078%4.8%2026-08-09 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.47%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.25%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -17.26%E -2.16%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.58%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013%6.9%2026-08-09 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.06%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.29%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.97%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 19:15
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.60%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%22.81I 4.38%NM 4.21%EV +6.14%E +0.269%K +0.281%G +0.017%10.46I 9.56%NM 9.19%EV +8.18%E +0.782%K +0.865%G +0.071%4.0%2026-08-09 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.42%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +2.37%E +0.108%K +0.113%G +0.003%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013%7.1%2026-08-09 19:15
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -2.28%E -0.109%K -0.114%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -2.28%E -0.109%K -0.114%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.50I 4.88%NM 4.55%EV -4.61%E -0.225%K -0.236%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -2.78%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.84%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013%5.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:30
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.42%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +0.836%E +0.086%K +0.096%G +0.001%6.4%2026-08-09 19:13
betfred_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 19:25
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.90%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.27%EV -16.24%E -0.902%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV -9.51%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 18:58
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -20.90%E -1.23%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -20.90%E -1.23%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:55
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.99%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV -23.22%E -1.41%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.22%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.58%EV -25.55%E -1.60%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.20%EV -9.51%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 19:25
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 19:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.40%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.63%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.27%EV -41.84%E -3.35%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 19:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.17%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.77%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.06%0.4%2026-08-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.17%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.77%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.06%0.4%2026-08-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.68%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.39%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%1.8%2026-08-09 19:25