StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Benfica v Académico de Viseu

Matchstart: 2026-08-09 19:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Benfica 2–2 Académico de Viseu

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Benfica (Hemma)

Prognos 85.00%1.18rättvist odds
EV -3.94%
Fördel -3.49%
Kelly -30.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.13

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
82.63%84.83%85.11%86.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.061.091.091.1394.34%91.46%91.74%88.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Académico de Viseu (Borta)

Prognos 4.65%21.49rättvist odds
EV +20.98%
Fördel +0.807%
Kelly +0.839%
Tillväxt +0.176%

med antagandet om högsta odds 26.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
3.58%4.84%4.64%7.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
12.5020.2320.0026.008.00%4.94%5.00%3.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 10.34%9.67rättvist odds
EV +8.59%
Fördel +0.818%
Kelly +0.905%
Tillväxt +0.078%

med antagandet om högsta odds 10.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.09%10.33%10.26%11.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.909.079.0010.5012.66%11.03%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Benfica (Hemma): 85.00%; Académico de Viseu (Borta): 4.65%; Oavgjort: 10.34%. För Académico de Viseu (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 21.49. 15 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 26.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +20.98%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.22%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -4.33%E -0.469%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.09%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +20.98%E +0.807%K +0.839%G +0.176%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.64%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.80%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 18:58
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -18.30%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 19:05
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +16.33%E +0.653%K +0.680%G +0.111%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -18.30%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.76%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.59%E +0.818%K +0.905%G +0.078%4.8%2026-08-09 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.76%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.59%E +0.818%K +0.905%G +0.078%4.8%2026-08-09 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.47%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.25%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -17.26%E -2.16%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.58%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013%6.9%2026-08-09 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.06%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.29%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.97%EV +7.02%E +0.305%K +0.319%G +0.022%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 19:15
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.60%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%22.81I 4.38%NM 4.21%EV +6.14%E +0.269%K +0.281%G +0.017%10.46I 9.56%NM 9.19%EV +8.18%E +0.782%K +0.865%G +0.071%4.0%2026-08-09 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.42%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +2.37%E +0.108%K +0.113%G +0.003%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013%7.1%2026-08-09 19:15
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -2.28%E -0.109%K -0.114%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -2.28%E -0.109%K -0.114%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.50I 4.88%NM 4.55%EV -4.61%E -0.225%K -0.236%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -2.78%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.84%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +3.42%E +0.342%K +0.380%G +0.013%5.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:30
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -6.94%E -0.347%K -0.365%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -1.75%E -0.184%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.42%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +0.836%E +0.086%K +0.096%G +0.001%6.4%2026-08-09 19:13
betfred_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 19:25
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.09%EV -9.05%E -8.45%K -129.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.79%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.21%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -11.59%E -0.610%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.90%EV -3.94%E -3.49%K -30.34%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.27%EV -16.24%E -0.902%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV -9.51%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 18:58
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -20.90%E -1.23%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -4.79%E -4.28%K -39.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -20.90%E -1.23%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:55
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.99%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV -23.22%E -1.41%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.22%EV -9.90%E -9.33%K -164.92%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.58%EV -25.55%E -1.60%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.20%EV -9.51%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 19:25
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -5.64%E -5.09%K -51.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 19:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -7.34%E -6.74%K -81.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.40%EV -8.19%E -7.59%K -102.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -30.20%E -2.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.09%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.63%EV -6.49%E -5.90%K -64.95%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.27%EV -41.84%E -3.35%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -6.92%E -0.769%K -0.865%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 19:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.17%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.77%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.06%0.4%2026-08-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.17%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.77%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.06%0.4%2026-08-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.69%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%0.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.68%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.39%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%1.8%2026-08-09 19:25