Language:English
Arouca v Tondela
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arouca (Local)
Prediction 31.55%3.17fair odd
EV -0.316%
Edge -0.100%
Kelly -0.146%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.05%31.44%31.52%32.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.003.1635.71%33.47%33.33%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tondela (Visit)
Prediction 40.92%2.44fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.576%
Kelly -0.985%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.94%41.14%40.95%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.222.252.4148.54%45.07%44.44%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd
EV -0.867%
Edge -0.241%
Kelly -0.334%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%27.42%27.53%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.433.443.6033.33%29.14%29.07%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arouca (Local): 31.55%; Tondela (Visit): 40.92%; Draw: 27.54%. For Arouca (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.16, with an expected value of -0.316%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -0.316%E -0.100%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.41%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.93%EV -4.45%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -12.03%E -5.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -12.03%E -5.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -12.44%E -5.81%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -12.44%E -5.81%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -12.44%E -5.81%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -12.44%E -5.81%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -12.03%E -5.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.71%EV -2.52%E -0.817%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -4.73%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.93%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.94%EV -1.39%E -0.576%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.98%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -14.89%E -7.16%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -14.89%E -7.16%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 16:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -15.71%E -7.63%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -12.03%E -5.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 16:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.09%EV -9.46%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -7.12%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.33%EV -7.20%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.39%E -5.80%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.75% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 42.15% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 28.10% | -1.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.4% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |