Oddsskolan

Arouca v Tondela

Matchstart: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Arouca 3–1 Tondela

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Arouca (Hemma)

Prognos 31.55%3.17rättvist odds
EV -0.316%
Fördel -0.100%
Kelly -0.146%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.05%31.44%31.52%32.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.802.993.003.1635.71%33.47%33.33%31.65%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Tondela (Borta)

Prognos 40.92%2.44rättvist odds
EV -1.39%
Fördel -0.576%
Kelly -0.985%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.94%41.14%40.95%43.86%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.062.222.252.4148.54%45.07%44.44%41.49%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.54%3.63rättvist odds
EV -0.867%
Fördel -0.241%
Kelly -0.334%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.78%27.42%27.53%28.57%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.003.433.443.6033.33%29.14%29.07%27.78%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -0.316%E -0.100%K -0.146%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.41%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.93%EV -4.45%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:10
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -12.03%E -5.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:30
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -12.03%E -5.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:30
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:10
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -12.44%E -5.81%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:35
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -12.44%E -5.81%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:30
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -12.44%E -5.81%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:30
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -12.44%E -5.81%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:30
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:55
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -12.03%E -5.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:30
GTbets3.09I 32.36%NM 30.71%EV -2.52%E -0.817%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:20
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:30
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:30
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:30
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:30
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 16:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 16:30
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -4.73%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.93%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.94%EV -1.39%E -0.576%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.98%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 16:50
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 16:19
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:55
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:55
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 16:50
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:52
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:55
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:54
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -14.89%E -7.16%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 16:30
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -14.89%E -7.16%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 16:30
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:45
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:44
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:15
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:15
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:15
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -15.71%E -7.63%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 16:30
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:55
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:45
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:45
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -12.03%E -5.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 16:44
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:45
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 16:55
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 16:15
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.09%EV -9.46%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -7.12%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.33%EV -7.20%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 16:43
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 16:45
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:50
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:34
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.39%E -5.80%K -8.69%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-16 16:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 29.75%2.40I 41.67%NM 42.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 28.10%-1.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-05-16 16:45
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.4%2026-05-16 16:55
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-16 16:55