Школа коэффициентов

Arouca v Tondela

Начало: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Итог: Arouca 3–1 Tondela

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Arouca (Хозяева)

Прогноз 31.55%3.17справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.316%
Преимущество -0.100%
Kelly -0.146%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.16

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.05%31.44%31.52%32.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.802.993.003.1635.71%33.47%33.33%31.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Tondela (Гости)

Прогноз 40.92%2.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.39%
Преимущество -0.576%
Kelly -0.985%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.41

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.94%41.14%40.95%43.86%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.062.222.252.4148.54%45.07%44.44%41.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.54%3.63справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.867%
Преимущество -0.241%
Kelly -0.334%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.78%27.42%27.53%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.433.443.6033.33%29.14%29.07%27.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -0.316%E -0.100%K -0.146%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.41%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.93%EV -4.45%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:10
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -12.03%E -5.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:30
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -12.03%E -5.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:30
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:10
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -12.44%E -5.81%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:35
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -12.44%E -5.81%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:30
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -12.44%E -5.81%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:30
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -12.44%E -5.81%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:30
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:55
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -12.03%E -5.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:30
GTbets3.09I 32.36%NM 30.71%EV -2.52%E -0.817%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:20
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:30
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:30
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:30
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:30
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -13.26%E -6.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 16:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -3.79%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 16:30
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -4.73%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.93%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.94%EV -1.39%E -0.576%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.98%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 16:50
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 16:19
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:55
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:55
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 16:50
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:52
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:55
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:54
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -14.89%E -7.16%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 16:30
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -14.89%E -7.16%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 16:30
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:45
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:44
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:15
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:15
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:15
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -15.71%E -7.63%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 16:30
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:55
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:45
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:45
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -12.03%E -5.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 16:44
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:45
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 16:55
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 16:15
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.09%EV -9.46%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -7.12%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.33%EV -7.20%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 16:43
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 16:45
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:50
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:34
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.39%E -5.80%K -8.69%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-16 16:45
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 29.75%2.40I 41.67%NM 42.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 28.10%-1.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-05-16 16:45
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.4%2026-05-16 16:55
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-16 16:55