Language:English
Alverca v Estoril
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alverca (Local)
Prediction 35.81%2.79fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.817%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.24%35.91%35.74%37.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.562.602.7342.02%39.08%38.46%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estoril (Visit)
Prediction 37.53%2.66fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -0.789%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.42%37.47%37.55%38.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6343.48%39.93%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV -0.049%
Edge -0.013%
Kelly -0.018%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.37%26.61%26.71%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.63%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alverca (Local): 35.81%; Estoril (Visit): 37.53%; Draw: 26.65%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.752. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.750, with an expected value of -0.049%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -2.23%E -0.817%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%EV -5.42%E -2.15%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.25%E -0.895%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.73%EV -2.95%E -1.09%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.16%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.75%EV -3.51%E -0.971%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV -4.02%E -1.50%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV -4.02%E -1.50%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.30%EV -4.38%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.16%EV -7.29%E -2.95%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 19:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -5.45%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.81%EV -6.54%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -5.81%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -6.54%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.31%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 19:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 19:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -7.60%E -2.95%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.21%EV -5.04%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.30%EV -4.58%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 18:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.049%E -0.013%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 19:23 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.71%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 18:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 19:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-10 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.04%E -6.68%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 19:23 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 19:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.62%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -12.98%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -12.98%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -14.05%E -5.85%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -14.05%E -5.85%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -14.77%E -6.20%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.03% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 19:25 |