مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alverca v Estoril

البداية: 2026-05-10 19:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Alverca 1–1 Estoril

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alverca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.81%2.79السعر العادل
EV -2.23%
الأفضلية -0.817%
Kelly -1.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.24%35.91%35.74%37.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.562.602.7342.02%39.08%38.46%36.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Estoril (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.53%2.66السعر العادل
EV -1.29%
الأفضلية -0.489%
Kelly -0.789%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.42%37.47%37.55%38.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.502.502.6343.48%39.93%40.00%38.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.65%3.75السعر العادل
EV -0.049%
الأفضلية -0.013%
Kelly -0.018%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.37%26.61%26.71%28.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.63%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -2.23%E -0.817%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%EV -5.42%E -2.15%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.25%E -0.895%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 19:20
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.73%EV -2.95%E -1.09%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.16%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.75%EV -3.51%E -0.971%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 19:20
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV -4.02%E -1.50%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 19:14
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV -4.02%E -1.50%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 19:14
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 35.30%EV -4.38%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.16%EV -7.29%E -2.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 19:20
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:35
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 19:13
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 19:14
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 19:20
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 19:25
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -5.45%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.81%EV -6.54%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 19:24
Marathon Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -5.81%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -6.54%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.31%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 19:24
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 18:34
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 19:14
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 19:14
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 19:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 19:14
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 19:14
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 19:15
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 19:14
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 19:14
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 19:08
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 19:19
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 19:13
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:34
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:35
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:35
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 19:20
GTbets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -7.60%E -2.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.21%EV -5.04%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.30%EV -4.58%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 18:38
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.049%E -0.013%K -0.018%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:39
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:39
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 19:23
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 19:14
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.71%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 18:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 18:34
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 19:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-10 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.04%E -6.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-10 19:14
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:25
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:24
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:25
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:23
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:24
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:24
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 19:09
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 19:05
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 19:04
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 19:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 19:24
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.62%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -12.98%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 19:24
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -12.98%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 19:24
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -14.05%E -5.85%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 19:24
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -14.05%E -5.85%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 19:24
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -14.77%E -6.20%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 19:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-05-10 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-10 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-10 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-10 19:25
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.03%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-05-10 19:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-05-10 19:25