Школа коэффициентов

Alverca v Estoril

Начало: 2026-05-10 19:30 UTC

Итог: Alverca 1–1 Estoril

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Alverca (Хозяева)

Прогноз 35.81%2.79справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.23%
Преимущество -0.817%
Kelly -1.29%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.73

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.24%35.91%35.74%37.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.382.562.602.7342.02%39.08%38.46%36.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Estoril (Гости)

Прогноз 37.53%2.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.29%
Преимущество -0.489%
Kelly -0.789%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.63

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.42%37.47%37.55%38.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.502.502.6343.48%39.93%40.00%38.02%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.65%3.75справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.049%
Преимущество -0.013%
Kelly -0.018%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.37%26.61%26.71%28.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.63%28.57%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -2.23%E -0.817%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%EV -5.42%E -2.15%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.25%E -0.895%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 19:20
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.73%EV -2.95%E -1.09%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.16%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.75%EV -3.51%E -0.971%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 19:20
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV -4.02%E -1.50%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 19:14
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV -4.02%E -1.50%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 19:14
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 35.30%EV -4.38%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.16%EV -7.29%E -2.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 19:20
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:35
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 19:13
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 19:14
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 19:20
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 19:25
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -5.45%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.81%EV -6.54%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 19:24
Marathon Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -5.81%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -6.54%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.31%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 19:24
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 18:34
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 19:14
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 19:14
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 19:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 19:14
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 19:14
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 19:15
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 19:14
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 19:14
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 19:08
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 19:19
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 19:13
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:34
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:35
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:35
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 19:20
GTbets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -7.60%E -2.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.21%EV -5.04%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.30%EV -4.58%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 18:38
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.049%E -0.013%K -0.018%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:39
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:39
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 19:23
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 19:14
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.71%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 18:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 18:34
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 19:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-10 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.04%E -6.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-10 19:14
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:25
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:24
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:25
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:23
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:24
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:24
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 19:09
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 19:05
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 19:04
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 19:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 19:24
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.62%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -12.98%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 19:24
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -12.98%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 19:24
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -14.05%E -5.85%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 19:24
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -14.05%E -5.85%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 19:24
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -14.77%E -6.20%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 19:24
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-05-10 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-10 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-10 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-10 19:25
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.03%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-05-10 19:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-05-10 19:25