A Escola das Odds

Alverca v Estoril

Início: 2026-05-10 19:30 UTC

Final: Alverca 1–1 Estoril

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alverca (Local)

Previsão 35.81%2.79odd justa
EV -2.23%
Vantagem -0.817%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.24%35.91%35.74%37.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.562.602.7342.02%39.08%38.46%36.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Estoril (Visitante)

Previsão 37.53%2.66odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.489%
Kelly -0.789%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.42%37.47%37.55%38.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.502.502.6343.48%39.93%40.00%38.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.65%3.75odd justa
EV -0.049%
Vantagem -0.013%
Kelly -0.018%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.37%26.61%26.71%28.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.63%28.57%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -2.23%E -0.817%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%EV -5.42%E -2.15%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.25%E -0.895%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 19:20
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.73%EV -2.95%E -1.09%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.16%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.75%EV -3.51%E -0.971%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 19:20
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV -4.02%E -1.50%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 19:14
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV -4.02%E -1.50%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 19:14
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 35.30%EV -4.38%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.16%EV -7.29%E -2.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 19:20
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:35
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 19:13
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 19:14
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 19:20
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 19:25
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -5.45%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.81%EV -6.54%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 19:24
Marathon Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -5.81%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -6.54%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.31%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 19:24
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 18:34
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 19:14
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 19:14
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 19:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 19:14
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 19:14
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 19:15
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 19:14
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 19:14
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 19:08
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 19:19
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 19:13
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:34
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:35
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:35
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 19:20
GTbets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -7.60%E -2.95%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.21%EV -5.04%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.30%EV -4.58%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 18:38
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.049%E -0.013%K -0.018%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:39
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:39
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 19:23
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 19:14
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.71%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 18:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.04%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 18:34
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 19:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-10 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -13.67%E -5.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.04%E -6.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-10 19:14
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:25
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:24
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:25
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:23
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:24
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.29%E -0.489%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 19:24
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 19:09
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 19:05
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -11.18%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 19:04
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 19:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 19:24
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.62%EV -12.26%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -9.92%E -4.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -12.98%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 19:24
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -12.98%E -5.34%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -2.41%E -0.928%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 19:24
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -14.05%E -5.85%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 19:24
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -14.05%E -5.85%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 19:24
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -14.77%E -6.20%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 19:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-05-10 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-10 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-10 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-10 19:25
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.03%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-05-10 19:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-05-10 19:25