A Escola das Odds

Zagłębie Lubin v Lech Poznań

Início: 2026-03-15 13:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zagłębie Lubin (Local)

Previsão 23.83%4.20odd justa
EV +4.85%
Vantagem +1.10%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescimento +0.069%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.55%23.74%23.90%25.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.823.754.4028.57%26.15%26.67%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lech Poznań (Visitante)

Previsão 49.99%2.00odd justa
EV -3.53%
Vantagem -1.83%
Kelly -3.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.69%50.06%49.80%52.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.641.841.831.9360.98%54.33%54.50%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.18%3.82odd justa
EV -0.498%
Vantagem -0.131%
Kelly -0.178%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.82%26.20%26.30%28.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.76%28.57%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV +4.85%E +1.10%K +1.43%G +0.069%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 13:35
Pinnacle4.38I 22.83%NM 21.95%EV +4.37%E +0.998%K +1.29%G +0.057%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.42%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 13:35
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV +0.082%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.52%E -6.51%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:40
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 13:40
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 13:39
BetUS4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 13:40
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:35
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:35
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:40
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 13:40
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 13:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 13:40
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:35
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:30
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:35
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:40
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 13:40
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 13:40
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:35
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:35
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:30
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 13:39
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 13:40
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:20
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:20
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:20
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -16.52%E -9.89%K -24.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-15 13:40
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 13:40
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 13:40
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 13:30
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 22.66%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 51.13%EV -18.02%E -10.99%K -28.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 13:40
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 13:35
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:35
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -8.03%E -4.36%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:35
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 13:34
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Parions Sport (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.03%EV -10.52%E -5.88%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:35
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-15 13:34
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -15.41%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -16.60%E -4.74%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 13:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-15 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-03-15 13:40
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75%2.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-03-15 13:35