مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zagłębie Lubin v Lech Poznań

البداية: 2026-03-15 13:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zagłębie Lubin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 23.83%4.20السعر العادل
EV +4.85%
الأفضلية +1.10%
Kelly +1.43%
النمو +0.069%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.55%23.74%23.90%25.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.823.754.4028.57%26.15%26.67%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lech Poznań (الضيف)

التنبؤ 49.99%2.00السعر العادل
EV -3.53%
الأفضلية -1.83%
Kelly -3.79%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.69%50.06%49.80%52.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.641.841.831.9360.98%54.33%54.50%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.18%3.82السعر العادل
EV -0.498%
الأفضلية -0.131%
Kelly -0.178%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.82%26.20%26.30%28.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.76%28.57%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV +4.85%E +1.10%K +1.43%G +0.069%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 13:35
Pinnacle4.38I 22.83%NM 21.95%EV +4.37%E +0.998%K +1.29%G +0.057%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.42%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 13:35
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV +0.082%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.52%E -6.51%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:40
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 13:40
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 13:39
BetUS4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 13:40
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:35
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:35
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:40
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 13:40
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 13:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 13:40
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:35
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:30
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:35
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:40
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 13:40
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 13:40
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:35
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:35
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:30
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 13:39
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 13:40
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:20
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:20
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:20
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -16.52%E -9.89%K -24.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-15 13:40
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 13:40
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 13:40
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 13:30
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 22.66%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 51.13%EV -18.02%E -10.99%K -28.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 13:40
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 13:35
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:35
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -8.03%E -4.36%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:35
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 13:34
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Parions Sport (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.03%EV -10.52%E -5.88%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:35
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-15 13:34
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -15.41%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -16.60%E -4.74%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 13:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-15 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-03-15 13:40
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75%2.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-03-15 13:35