La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Zagłębie Lubin v Lech Poznań
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Zagłębie Lubin (Casa)
Previsione 23.83%4.20quota equa
EV +4.85%
Vantaggio +1.10%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescita +0.069%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.55%23.74%23.90%25.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.823.754.4028.57%26.15%26.67%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Lech Poznań (Trasferta)
Previsione 49.99%2.00quota equa
EV -3.53%
Vantaggio -1.83%
Kelly -3.79%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.69%50.06%49.80%52.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.841.831.9360.98%54.33%54.50%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.18%3.82quota equa
EV -0.498%
Vantaggio -0.131%
Kelly -0.178%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.82%26.20%26.30%28.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.76%28.57%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV +4.85%E +1.10%K +1.43%G +0.069% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Pinnacle | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.95%EV +4.37%E +0.998%K +1.29%G +0.057% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.42%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV +0.082%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.52%E -6.51%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Bovada | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 13:39 |
| BetUS | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Betsson | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 13:39 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -16.52%E -9.89%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| betPARX | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.66%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.13%EV -18.02%E -10.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -8.03%E -4.36%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.03%EV -10.52%E -5.88%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-15 13:34 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -15.41%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -16.60%E -4.74%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 0.5% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75% | 2.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |