La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zagłębie Lubin v Lech Poznań
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Predicción 23.83%4.20momio equitativo
EV +4.85%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.069%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.55%23.74%23.90%25.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.823.754.4028.57%26.15%26.67%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lech Poznań (Visitante)
Predicción 49.99%2.00momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -3.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.69%50.06%49.80%52.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.841.831.9360.98%54.33%54.50%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.18%3.82momio equitativo
EV -0.498%
Ventaja -0.131%
Kelly -0.178%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.82%26.20%26.30%28.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.76%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV +4.85%E +1.10%K +1.43%G +0.069% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Pinnacle | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.95%EV +4.37%E +0.998%K +1.29%G +0.057% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.42%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV +0.082%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.52%E -6.51%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Bovada | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 13:39 |
| BetUS | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Betsson | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 13:39 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -16.52%E -9.89%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| betPARX | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.66%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.13%EV -18.02%E -10.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -8.03%E -4.36%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.03%EV -10.52%E -5.88%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-15 13:34 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -15.41%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -16.60%E -4.74%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 0.5% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75% | 2.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |