StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Zagłębie Lubin v Lech Poznań

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-15 13:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Zagłębie Lubin (Heim)

Prognose 23.83%4.20faire Quote
EV +4.85%
Vorteil +1.10%
Kelly +1.43%
Wachstum +0.069%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.55%23.74%23.90%25.16%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.823.754.4028.57%26.15%26.67%22.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Lech Poznań (Auswärts)

Prognose 49.99%2.00faire Quote
EV -3.53%
Vorteil -1.83%
Kelly -3.79%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.93

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
47.69%50.06%49.80%52.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.641.841.831.9360.98%54.33%54.50%51.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.18%3.82faire Quote
EV -0.498%
Vorteil -0.131%
Kelly -0.178%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.82%26.20%26.30%28.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.76%28.57%26.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Zagłębie Lubin (Heim): 23.83%; Lech Poznań (Auswärts): 49.99%; Unentschieden: 26.18%. Für Zagłębie Lubin (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.20. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.40 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.85%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV +4.85%E +1.10%K +1.43%G +0.069%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 13:35
Pinnacle🎯4.38I 22.83%NM 21.95%EV +4.37%E +0.998%K +1.29%G +0.057%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.42%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 13:35
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV +0.082%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.52%E -6.51%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 13:40
Bovada🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 13:39
BetUS🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:35
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:40
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 13:40
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 13:40
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:35
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:35
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:40
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 13:40
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 13:40
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:35
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:35
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:30
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 13:39
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 13:40
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:20
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -16.52%E -9.89%K -24.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-15 13:40
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 13:40
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 22.66%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 51.13%EV -18.02%E -10.99%K -28.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 13:40
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -8.03%E -4.36%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.03%EV -10.52%E -5.88%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-15 13:34
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -15.41%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -16.60%E -4.74%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 13:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-15 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-03-15 13:40
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75%2.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-03-15 13:35