L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Zagłębie Lubin v Lech Poznań
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Prévision 23.83%4.20cote équitable
EV +4.85%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.069%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.55%23.74%23.90%25.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.823.754.4028.57%26.15%26.67%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lech Poznań (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.99%2.00cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.83%
Kelly -3.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.69%50.06%49.80%52.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.841.831.9360.98%54.33%54.50%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.18%3.82cote équitable
EV -0.498%
Avantage -0.131%
Kelly -0.178%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.82%26.20%26.30%28.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.76%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV +4.85%E +1.10%K +1.43%G +0.069% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Pinnacle | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.95%EV +4.37%E +0.998%K +1.29%G +0.057% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.42%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV +0.082%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.52%E -6.51%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Bovada | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 13:39 |
| BetUS | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Betsson | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 13:39 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -16.52%E -9.89%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| betPARX | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.66%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.13%EV -18.02%E -10.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -8.03%E -4.36%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.03%EV -10.52%E -5.88%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-15 13:34 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -15.41%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -16.60%E -4.74%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 0.5% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75% | 2.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |