Szkoła Kursów

Zagłębie Lubin v Lech Poznań

Początek: 2026-03-15 13:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Zagłębie Lubin (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 23.83%4.20kurs godziwy
EV +4.85%
Przewaga +1.10%
Kelly +1.43%
Wzrost +0.069%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.55%23.74%23.90%25.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.823.754.4028.57%26.15%26.67%22.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Lech Poznań (Goście)

Prognoza 49.99%2.00kurs godziwy
EV -3.53%
Przewaga -1.83%
Kelly -3.79%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.93

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.69%50.06%49.80%52.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.641.841.831.9360.98%54.33%54.50%51.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.18%3.82kurs godziwy
EV -0.498%
Przewaga -0.131%
Kelly -0.178%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.82%26.20%26.30%28.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.76%28.57%26.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV +4.85%E +1.10%K +1.43%G +0.069%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 13:35
Pinnacle4.38I 22.83%NM 21.95%EV +4.37%E +0.998%K +1.29%G +0.057%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.42%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 13:35
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV +0.082%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -11.52%E -6.51%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:40
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 13:40
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 13:39
BetUS4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -1.11%E -0.267%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 13:40
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:35
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.498%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:35
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -2.30%E -0.561%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:40
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 13:40
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 13:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 13:40
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:35
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:30
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:35
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -7.07%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.52%E -7.16%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:40
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 13:40
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.26%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 13:40
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:35
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:35
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:30
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.45%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 13:39
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 13:40
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:20
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:20
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:20
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -16.52%E -9.89%K -24.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-15 13:40
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:35
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 13:40
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 13:40
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 13:30
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 22.66%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 51.13%EV -18.02%E -10.99%K -28.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 13:40
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 13:35
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:35
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -8.03%E -4.36%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:35
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 13:34
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Parions Sport (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.03%EV -10.52%E -5.88%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:35
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -13.52%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-15 13:34
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -15.41%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -16.60%E -4.74%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -10.02%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 13:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-15 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-03-15 13:40
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75%2.2%2026-03-15 13:35
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-03-15 13:35