Language:English
Widzew Łódź v Motor Lublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Prediction 52.98%1.89fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.22%53.10%52.92%56.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.711.721.8463.69%58.35%58.14%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motor Lublin (Visit)
Prediction 21.43%4.67fair odd
EV +7.16%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.128%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.64%21.29%21.55%23.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.394.355.0025.00%22.80%22.99%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.59%3.91fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.589%
Kelly -0.798%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.52%25.61%25.53%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.603.603.8230.30%27.81%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Widzew Łódź (Local): 52.98%; Motor Lublin (Visit): 21.43%; Draw: 25.59%. For Motor Lublin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.67. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -13.11%E -8.00%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV +7.16%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.128% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 15:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -12.58%E -7.63%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.80%E +0.380%K +0.481%G +0.009% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -13.64%E -8.37%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.732%E +0.156%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -13.64%E -8.37%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.732%E +0.156%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -9.41%E -5.50%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -1.41%E -0.307%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -14.70%E -9.13%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -1.41%E -0.307%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 05:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.82%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 05:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -8.35%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 15:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -16.82%E -10.72%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.81%EV -3.58%E -1.97%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.55%EV -4.41%E -0.989%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-26 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -7.82%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -8.39%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.54%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.20%EV -5.27%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.26%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.71%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-26 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -6.77%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 05:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -6.77%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 05:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 15:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 05:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -6.76%E -3.84%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -8.91%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-26 15:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.35%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-26 05:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-26 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.49%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.56%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.24%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.29%EV -11.06%E -2.66%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.47%EV -11.21%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-26 15:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 05:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.23%E -3.52%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.59%EV -2.52%E -1.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.56%EV -13.63%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -2.25%E -0.589%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 15:21 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-26 15:21 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-26 15:21 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-26 15:21 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.72%E -3.40%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-26 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 15:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.93%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-26 05:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.69%EV -12.58%E -7.63%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-26 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.23% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.23% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.92% | 2.9% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |