The School of Odds

Widzew Łódź v Motor Lublin

2026-07-26 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Prediction 56.40%1.77fair odd
EV -5.25%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -7.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.26%56.55%57.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.621.6864%61%62%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Motor Lublin (Visit)

Prediction 19.31%5.18fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -0.688%
Kelly -0.860%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.38%19.37%19.17%21.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.694.755.0025%21%21%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.29%4.12fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -0.947%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%24.37%24.28%25.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.723.754.0029%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -10.20%E -2.19%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-20 00:15
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -10.20%E -2.19%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-20 00:15
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.44%E -0.688%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 05:40
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.17%E -2.43%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 19:54
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.17%E -2.43%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 19:55
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.17%E -2.43%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 19:54
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -6.38%E -3.84%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.11%EV -4.79%E -0.972%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 23:10
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.36%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 23:10
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.30%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 23:40
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.27%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 05:45
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.39%EV -7.51%E -4.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.30%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 23:22
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -8.07%E -4.95%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.34%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 23:10
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -8.64%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -3.44%E -0.688%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 05:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -8.64%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -3.44%E -0.688%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 07:05
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.64%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -3.44%E -0.688%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-20 05:39
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -8.64%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -18.89%E -4.50%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-19 16:20
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -9.20%E -5.71%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.37%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 05:40
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.20%E -5.71%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.27%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 11:05
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.20%E -5.71%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.27%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 11:04
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.44%E -0.688%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 13:55
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.27%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 05:39
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.60%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.80%EV -18.89%E -4.50%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -13.77%E -3.88%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-20 00:15
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%EV -11.46%E -7.30%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.02%EV -16.38%E -3.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.77%EV -14.98%E -4.28%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-20 05:40
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.82%EV -11.46%E -7.30%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.02%EV -16.96%E -3.94%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.17%EV -16.93%E -4.95%K -7.00%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-20 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.09%EV -12.02%E -7.70%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.09%EV -22.75%E -5.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.82%EV -17.41%E -5.12%K -7.26%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-20 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%13.6%2026-07-20 00:15