La escuela de los momios

Widzew Łódź v Motor Lublin

2026-07-26 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Predicción 56.22%1.78momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -2.60%
Kelly -6.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.09%56.23%56.35%57.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.651.7064.52%61.12%60.61%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Motor Lublin (Visitante)

Predicción 19.23%5.20momio equitativo
EV +0.969%
Ventaja +0.185%
Kelly +0.228%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.16%19.24%19.14%21.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.784.805.2525.00%20.92%20.83%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.54%4.07momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.332%
Kelly -0.442%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%24.53%24.50%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.733.754.0229.41%26.82%26.67%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -6.10%E -3.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV +0.969%E +0.185%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -5.51%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 13:44
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.10%E -3.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.76%EV -1.72%E -0.337%K -0.419%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.84%EV -1.34%E -0.332%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 03:40
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -1.92%E -0.376%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.28%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 15:35
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.10%E -3.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.05%E -0.773%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:25
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:25
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:24
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 00:25
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:25
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:25
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:25
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:25
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -8.92%E -5.50%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.28%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 13:45
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.92%E -5.50%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 13:44
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.92%E -5.50%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -3.84%E -0.768%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 03:39
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -5.76%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -4.28%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -5.76%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -4.28%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 16:40
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.91%EV -8.35%E -5.13%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -5.76%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.16%EV -5.75%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 02:55
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -8.35%E -5.13%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.76%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 00:24
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.76%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 13:45
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -5.76%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.42%E -2.85%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -5.76%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.42%E -2.85%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 00:24
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.19%EV -6.53%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -5.75%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 02:59
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -8.92%E -5.50%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -6.72%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -5.51%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 02:40
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:25
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:25
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:25
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.44%EV -10.04%E -6.28%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.42%E -2.85%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-22 00:25
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 12:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 05:45
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.92%E -5.50%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 13:45
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 04:10
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 02:43
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 02:43
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.72%EV -8.92%E -5.50%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -9.61%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -11.64%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 15:35
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.45%EV -12.29%E -7.88%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.74%EV -9.61%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -12.87%E -3.63%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-22 00:25
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -10.57%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-20 00:15
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -10.57%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-20 00:15
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -4.98%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -11.53%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 20:05
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -11.53%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 23:50
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -6.10%E -3.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.53%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -10.42%E -2.85%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 03:34
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -10.04%E -6.28%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -11.53%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.64%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 13:45
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.22%EV -8.35%E -5.13%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.78%EV -12.49%E -2.75%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.64%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 03:33
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.46%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.64%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -13.46%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -11.64%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 03:34
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.09%EV -12.85%E -8.29%K -23.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -15.38%E -3.50%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -11.64%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 09:05
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -16.72%E -3.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.64%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -16.72%E -3.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.64%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 20:05
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.13%EV -10.04%E -6.28%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -16.72%E -3.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -11.64%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-21 10:15
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -8.92%E -5.50%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -17.30%E -4.02%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -10.42%E -2.85%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-22 04:15
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.09%EV -12.29%E -7.88%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.09%EV -23.07%E -5.77%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.82%EV -16.55%E -4.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-20 00:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 59.09%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.96%0.1%2026-07-26 00:05
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.85%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-07-26 03:45
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.0%2026-07-26 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.0%2026-07-26 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.0%2026-07-26 03:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.0%2026-07-26 03:39