Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Widzew Łódź v Motor Lublin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 15:30 UTC

Score final : Widzew Łódź 2–2 Motor Lublin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Prévision 52.98%1.89cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.22%53.10%52.92%56.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.711.721.8463.69%58.35%58.14%54.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Motor Lublin (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.43%4.67cote équitable
EV +7.16%
Avantage +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
Croissance +0.128%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.64%21.29%21.55%23.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.394.355.0025.00%22.80%22.99%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.59%3.91cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.589%
Kelly -0.798%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.52%25.61%25.53%26.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.603.603.8230.30%27.81%27.78%26.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Widzew Łódź (Local) : 52.98% ; Motor Lublin (Visiteur) : 21.43% ; Match nul : 25.59%. Pour Motor Lublin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.67. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +7.16%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -13.11%E -8.00%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV +7.16%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.128%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.987%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:24
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -12.58%E -7.63%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.80%E +0.380%K +0.481%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -13.64%E -8.37%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.732%E +0.156%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -13.64%E -8.37%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.732%E +0.156%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -9.41%E -5.50%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -1.41%E -0.307%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -14.70%E -9.13%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -1.41%E -0.307%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 05:14
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.82%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 05:09
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -8.35%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 15:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -16.82%E -10.72%K -29.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.81%EV -3.58%E -1.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.55%EV -4.41%E -0.989%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -7.82%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -8.39%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 15:25
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.54%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.20%EV -5.27%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.26%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.71%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -6.77%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 05:14
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -6.77%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 05:15
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:15
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -6.76%E -3.84%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -8.91%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 15:14
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.35%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 15:15
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 15:19
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 05:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.49%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.56%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.24%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.29%EV -11.06%E -2.66%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.47%EV -11.21%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 15:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 05:14
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.23%E -3.52%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 15:25
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.59%EV -2.52%E -1.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.56%EV -13.63%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -2.25%E -0.589%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 15:21
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:21
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.72%E -3.40%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 15:15
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 15:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.93%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 05:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.69%EV -12.58%E -7.63%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-26 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-07-26 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-07-26 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-07-26 15:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.23%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.23%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.92%2.9%2026-07-26 15:25