Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Widzew Łódź v Motor Lublin

Inizio: 2026-07-26 15:30 UTC

Finale: Widzew Łódź 2–2 Motor Lublin

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Widzew Łódź (Casa)

Previsione 52.98%1.89quota equa
EV -2.52%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.22%53.10%52.92%56.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.711.721.8463.69%58.35%58.14%54.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Motor Lublin (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.43%4.67quota equa
EV +7.16%
Vantaggio +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
Crescita +0.128%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.64%21.29%21.55%23.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.394.355.0025.00%22.80%22.99%20.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.59%3.91quota equa
EV -2.25%
Vantaggio -0.589%
Kelly -0.798%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.52%25.61%25.53%26.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.603.603.8230.30%27.81%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Widzew Łódź (Casa): 52.98%; Motor Lublin (Trasferta): 21.43%; Pareggio: 25.59%. Per Motor Lublin (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.67. 12 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.16%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -13.11%E -8.00%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV +7.16%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.128%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.987%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:24
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -12.58%E -7.63%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.80%E +0.380%K +0.481%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -13.64%E -8.37%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.732%E +0.156%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -13.64%E -8.37%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.732%E +0.156%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -9.41%E -5.50%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -1.41%E -0.307%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -14.70%E -9.13%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -1.41%E -0.307%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 05:14
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.82%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 05:09
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -8.35%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 15:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -16.82%E -10.72%K -29.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.81%EV -3.58%E -1.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.55%EV -4.41%E -0.989%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -7.82%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -8.39%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 15:25
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.54%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.20%EV -5.27%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.26%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.71%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -6.77%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 05:14
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -6.77%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 05:15
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:15
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -6.76%E -3.84%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -8.91%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 15:14
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.35%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 15:15
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 15:19
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 05:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.49%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.56%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.24%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.29%EV -11.06%E -2.66%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.47%EV -11.21%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 15:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 05:14
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.23%E -3.52%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 15:25
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.59%EV -2.52%E -1.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.56%EV -13.63%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -2.25%E -0.589%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 15:21
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:21
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.72%E -3.40%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 15:15
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 15:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.93%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 05:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.69%EV -12.58%E -7.63%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-26 15:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-07-26 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-07-26 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-07-26 15:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.23%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.23%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.92%2.9%2026-07-26 15:25