StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Widzew Łódź v Motor Lublin

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-26 15:30 UTC

Endstand: Widzew Łódź 2–2 Motor Lublin

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Widzew Łódź (Heim)

Prognose 52.98%1.89faire Quote
EV -2.52%
Vorteil -1.37%
Kelly -3.00%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.84

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.22%53.10%52.92%56.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.711.721.8463.69%58.35%58.14%54.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Motor Lublin (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.43%4.67faire Quote
EV +7.16%
Vorteil +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
Wachstum +0.128%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.64%21.29%21.55%23.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.394.355.0025.00%22.80%22.99%20.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.59%3.91faire Quote
EV -2.25%
Vorteil -0.589%
Kelly -0.798%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.52%25.61%25.53%26.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.603.603.8230.30%27.81%27.78%26.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Widzew Łódź (Heim): 52.98%; Motor Lublin (Auswärts): 21.43%; Unentschieden: 25.59%. Für Motor Lublin (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.67. 12 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.16%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -13.11%E -8.00%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV +7.16%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.128%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.987%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:24
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -12.58%E -7.63%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.80%E +0.380%K +0.481%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -13.64%E -8.37%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.732%E +0.156%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -13.64%E -8.37%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.732%E +0.156%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -9.41%E -5.50%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -1.41%E -0.307%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -14.70%E -9.13%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -1.41%E -0.307%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 05:14
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.82%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 05:09
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -8.35%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 15:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -16.82%E -10.72%K -29.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.81%EV -3.58%E -1.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.55%EV -4.41%E -0.989%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -7.82%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -8.39%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 15:25
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.54%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.20%EV -5.27%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.26%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.71%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -6.77%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 05:14
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -6.77%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 05:15
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:15
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -6.76%E -3.84%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -8.91%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 15:14
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.35%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 15:15
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 15:19
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 05:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.49%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.56%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.24%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.29%EV -11.06%E -2.66%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.47%EV -11.21%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 15:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 05:14
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.23%E -3.52%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 15:25
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.59%EV -2.52%E -1.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.56%EV -13.63%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -2.25%E -0.589%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 15:21
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:21
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.72%E -3.40%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 15:15
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 15:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.93%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 05:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.69%EV -12.58%E -7.63%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-26 15:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-07-26 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-07-26 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-07-26 15:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.23%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.23%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.92%2.9%2026-07-26 15:25