Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Widzew Łódź v Motor Lublin

Początek: 2026-07-26 15:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Widzew Łódź 2–2 Motor Lublin

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Widzew Łódź (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 52.98%1.89kurs godziwy
EV -2.52%
Przewaga -1.37%
Kelly -3.00%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.84

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.22%53.10%52.92%56.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.711.721.8463.69%58.35%58.14%54.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Motor Lublin (Goście)

Prognoza 21.43%4.67kurs godziwy
EV +7.16%
Przewaga +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
Wzrost +0.128%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.64%21.29%21.55%23.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.394.355.0025.00%22.80%22.99%20.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.59%3.91kurs godziwy
EV -2.25%
Przewaga -0.589%
Kelly -0.798%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.82

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.52%25.61%25.53%26.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.603.603.8230.30%27.81%27.78%26.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Widzew Łódź (Gospodarze): 52.98%; Motor Lublin (Goście): 21.43%; Remis: 25.59%. Dla wyniku Motor Lublin (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.67. 12 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +7.16%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -13.11%E -8.00%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV +7.16%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.128%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.987%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV +2.87%E +0.599%K +0.757%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:24
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -12.58%E -7.63%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.80%E +0.380%K +0.481%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -13.64%E -8.37%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.732%E +0.156%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -13.64%E -8.37%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.732%E +0.156%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -9.41%E -5.50%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -1.41%E -0.307%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -14.70%E -9.13%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -1.41%E -0.307%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 05:14
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.82%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 05:09
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -8.35%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 15:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -16.82%E -10.72%K -29.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -3.55%E -0.790%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.81%EV -3.58%E -1.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.55%EV -4.41%E -0.989%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -7.82%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -4.63%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -8.39%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 15:25
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.54%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.20%EV -5.27%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.26%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.71%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -5.70%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -6.77%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 05:14
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -6.77%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 05:15
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -7.84%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:15
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -6.76%E -3.84%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -8.91%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 15:14
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.35%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 15:15
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 15:19
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 05:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.49%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.98%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.56%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.24%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.29%EV -11.06%E -2.66%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.47%EV -11.21%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 15:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 05:14
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.23%E -3.52%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.13%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 15:25
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.59%EV -2.52%E -1.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.56%EV -13.63%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -2.25%E -0.589%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 15:21
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:21
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -8.88%E -5.16%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.72%E -3.40%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 15:15
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.94%E -5.84%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 15:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.93%EV -12.05%E -7.26%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 05:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.69%EV -12.58%E -7.63%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -14.27%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-26 15:15
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-07-26 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-07-26 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-07-26 15:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.23%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.23%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.92%2.9%2026-07-26 15:25