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Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prediction 43.85%2.28fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.66%43.87%43.96%45.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.102.2051.28%48.05%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit)
Prediction 28.83%3.47fair odd
EV +0.620%
Edge +0.178%
Kelly +0.249%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%28.77%28.76%30.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.183.203.4934.48%31.43%31.25%28.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.32%3.66fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.456%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%27.37%27.28%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.77%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 43.85%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit): 28.83%; Draw: 27.32%. For Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.620%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +0.620%E +0.178%K +0.249%G +0.002% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -1.98%E -0.581%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -3.71%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -9.29%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 18:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.58%EV -6.61%E -3.10%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 04:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 05:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-13 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 05:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.68%E -4.70%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.68%E -4.70%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 05:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 05:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22%EV -6.61%E -3.10%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-13 06:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -10.55%E -5.17%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -11.43%E -5.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-13 17:36 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.08%EV -14.50%E -7.44%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -15.30%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-13 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-13 05:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.56%EV -10.99%E -5.41%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.96%EV -10.38%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-13 18:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-13 04:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.19%EV -13.62%E -6.91%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-13 18:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.03%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-13 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -16.39%E -5.65%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-13 05:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 1.4% | 2026-05-13 18:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 1.8% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12% | 3.1% | 2026-05-13 18:21 |