L’École des cotesRaków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prévision 43.85%2.28cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -2.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.66%43.87%43.96%45.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.082.102.2051.28%48.05%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.83%3.47cote équitable
EV +0.620%
Avantage +0.178%
Kelly +0.249%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.11%28.77%28.76%30.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.183.203.4934.48%31.43%31.25%28.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.32%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.456%
Kelly -0.631%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.78%27.37%27.28%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.77%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +0.620%E +0.178%K +0.249%G +0.002% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -1.98%E -0.581%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -3.71%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -9.29%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 18:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.58%EV -6.61%E -3.10%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 04:55 |
| Bovada | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:24 |
| BetUS | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 17:30 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 05:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-13 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 05:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.68%E -4.70%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.68%E -4.70%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 05:09 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 05:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22%EV -6.61%E -3.10%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-13 06:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -10.55%E -5.17%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -11.43%E -5.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-13 17:36 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.08%EV -14.50%E -7.44%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -15.30%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-13 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-13 05:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.56%EV -10.99%E -5.41%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.96%EV -10.38%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-13 18:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-13 04:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.19%EV -13.62%E -6.91%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-13 18:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.03%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-13 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -16.39%E -5.65%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-13 05:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 1.4% | 2026-05-13 18:21 |
| Smarkets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 1.8% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12% | 3.1% | 2026-05-13 18:21 |