Школа коэффициентов

Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok

Начало: 2026-05-13 18:30 UTC

Итог: Raków Częstochowa 0–2 Jagiellonia Białystok

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Raków Częstochowa (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.85%2.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.54%
Преимущество -1.61%
Kelly -2.95%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.66%43.87%43.96%45.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.952.082.102.2051.28%48.05%47.62%45.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Jagiellonia Białystok (Гости)

Прогноз 28.83%3.47справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.620%
Преимущество +0.178%
Kelly +0.249%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.49

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.11%28.77%28.76%30.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.183.203.4934.48%31.43%31.25%28.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.32%3.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.64%
Преимущество -0.456%
Kelly -0.631%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.78%27.37%27.28%29.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.77%29.41%27.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +0.620%E +0.178%K +0.249%G +0.002%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -1.98%E -0.581%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 17:30
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 17:30
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -3.71%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -9.29%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 18:24
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.58%EV -6.61%E -3.10%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:20
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:45
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 17:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 04:55
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:24
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:25
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 17:45
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 17:45
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 17:45
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 17:45
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 17:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 15:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 15:15
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:45
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:45
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:45
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:45
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:40
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 17:40
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 05:00
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 17:40
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 17:40
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-13 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 05:09
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.68%E -4.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.68%E -4.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 17:45
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 05:09
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 05:10
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22%EV -6.61%E -3.10%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 06:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 15:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 17:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 17:40
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -10.55%E -5.17%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 17:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 17:40
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -11.43%E -5.66%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 17:36
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 17:40
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-07 01:50
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.08%EV -14.50%E -7.44%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -15.30%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-13 17:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 05:10
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.56%EV -10.99%E -5.41%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.96%EV -10.38%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-13 18:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-13 04:49
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.19%EV -13.62%E -6.91%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-13 18:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.03%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-13 18:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -16.39%E -5.65%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-13 05:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-05-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-05-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-05-13 18:21
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%1.8%2026-05-13 18:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-05-13 18:21