La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Predicción 43.85%2.28momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -2.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.66%43.87%43.96%45.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.082.102.2051.28%48.05%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante)
Predicción 28.83%3.47momio equitativo
EV +0.620%
Ventaja +0.178%
Kelly +0.249%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.77%28.76%30.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.183.203.4934.48%31.43%31.25%28.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.32%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.456%
Kelly -0.631%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.78%27.37%27.28%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.77%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +0.620%E +0.178%K +0.249%G +0.002% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -1.98%E -0.581%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -3.71%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -9.29%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 18:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.58%EV -6.61%E -3.10%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 04:55 |
| Bovada | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:24 |
| BetUS | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 17:30 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 05:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-13 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 05:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.68%E -4.70%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.68%E -4.70%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 05:09 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 05:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22%EV -6.61%E -3.10%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-13 06:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -10.55%E -5.17%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-13 17:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -11.43%E -5.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-13 17:36 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 17:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-13 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.08%EV -14.50%E -7.44%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -15.30%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-13 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-13 05:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.56%EV -10.99%E -5.41%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.96%EV -10.38%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-13 18:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-13 04:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.19%EV -13.62%E -6.91%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-13 18:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.03%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-13 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -16.39%E -5.65%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-13 05:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 1.4% | 2026-05-13 18:21 |
| Smarkets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 1.8% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12% | 3.1% | 2026-05-13 18:21 |