مدرسة الاحتمالات

Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok

البداية: 2026-05-13 18:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Raków Częstochowa 0–2 Jagiellonia Białystok

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Raków Częstochowa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.85%2.28السعر العادل
EV -3.54%
الأفضلية -1.61%
Kelly -2.95%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.66%43.87%43.96%45.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.082.102.2051.28%48.05%47.62%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jagiellonia Białystok (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.83%3.47السعر العادل
EV +0.620%
الأفضلية +0.178%
Kelly +0.249%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.49

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.11%28.77%28.76%30.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.183.203.4934.48%31.43%31.25%28.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.32%3.66السعر العادل
EV -1.64%
الأفضلية -0.456%
Kelly -0.631%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.78%27.37%27.28%29.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.77%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +0.620%E +0.178%K +0.249%G +0.002%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -1.98%E -0.581%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 17:30
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 17:30
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -3.71%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -9.29%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 18:24
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.58%EV -6.61%E -3.10%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:20
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:45
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 17:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 04:55
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:24
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:25
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 17:45
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 17:45
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 17:45
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 17:45
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 17:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 15:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 15:15
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:45
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:45
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:45
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:45
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:40
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 17:40
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 05:00
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 17:40
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 17:40
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-13 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 05:09
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.68%E -4.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.68%E -4.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 17:45
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 05:09
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 05:10
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22%EV -6.61%E -3.10%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 06:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 15:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 17:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 17:40
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -10.55%E -5.17%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 17:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 17:40
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -11.43%E -5.66%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 17:36
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 17:40
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-07 01:50
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.08%EV -14.50%E -7.44%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -15.30%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-13 17:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 05:10
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.56%EV -10.99%E -5.41%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.96%EV -10.38%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-13 18:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-13 04:49
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.19%EV -13.62%E -6.91%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-13 18:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.03%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-13 18:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -16.39%E -5.65%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-13 05:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-05-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-05-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-05-13 18:21
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%1.8%2026-05-13 18:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-05-13 18:21