La scuola delle quote

Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok

Inizio: 2026-05-13 18:30 UTC

Finale: Raków Częstochowa 0–2 Jagiellonia Białystok

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Raków Częstochowa (Casa)

Previsione 43.85%2.28quota equa
EV -3.54%
Vantaggio -1.61%
Kelly -2.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.66%43.87%43.96%45.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.082.102.2051.28%48.05%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jagiellonia Białystok (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.83%3.47quota equa
EV +0.620%
Vantaggio +0.178%
Kelly +0.249%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.11%28.77%28.76%30.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.183.203.4934.48%31.43%31.25%28.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.32%3.66quota equa
EV -1.64%
Vantaggio -0.456%
Kelly -0.631%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.78%27.37%27.28%29.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.77%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +0.620%E +0.178%K +0.249%G +0.002%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -1.98%E -0.581%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 17:30
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 17:30
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -3.71%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -9.29%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 18:24
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.58%EV -6.61%E -3.10%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:20
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:45
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 17:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 04:55
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:24
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:25
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 17:45
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 17:45
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 17:45
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 17:45
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 17:35
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 17:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 15:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 15:15
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:45
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:45
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:45
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:45
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 17:40
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 17:40
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 05:00
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 17:40
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 17:40
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -8.80%E -4.23%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-13 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 05:09
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.68%E -4.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.68%E -4.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 17:45
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 05:09
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.73%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 05:10
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22%EV -6.61%E -3.10%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 06:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 15:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 17:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 17:40
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -10.55%E -5.17%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 17:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 17:40
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -11.43%E -5.66%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 17:36
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.62%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 17:35
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 17:40
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-07 01:50
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.08%EV -14.50%E -7.44%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -15.30%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-13 17:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 05:10
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.56%EV -10.99%E -5.41%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.96%EV -10.38%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-13 18:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-13 04:49
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.19%EV -13.62%E -6.91%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-13 18:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.03%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-13 18:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -16.39%E -5.65%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-13 05:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-05-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-05-13 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-05-13 18:21
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%1.8%2026-05-13 18:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-05-13 18:21