Language:English
Radomiak Radom v Lech Poznań
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Prediction 22.99%4.35fair odd
EV +3.69%
Edge +0.817%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 4.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.31%22.91%23.15%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.953.904.5127.78%25.32%25.64%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lech Poznań (Visit)
Prediction 53.34%1.87fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -5.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.30%53.41%53.26%55.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.731.731.7962.50%57.97%57.80%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.67%4.23fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -0.721%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.77%23.68%23.59%24.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.873.904.1329.41%25.86%25.64%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Radomiak Radom (Local): 22.99%; Lech Poznań (Visit): 53.34%; Draw: 23.67%. For Radomiak Radom (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.31%EV +3.69%E +0.817%K +1.05%G +0.039% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.60%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.09%EV -5.57%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 18:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -2.29%E -0.539%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.01%EV -8.65%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -9.85%E -5.83%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 17:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -5.05%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.13%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -2.26%E -0.546%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.74%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.74%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.34%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.76%EV -14.65%E -9.16%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -14.80%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-16 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.47%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -10.38%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 17:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -13.58%E -8.39%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -13.58%E -8.39%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.53%E -5.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.30%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.72%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.33%EV -13.05%E -8.01%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.39%EV -10.38%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 17:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |