La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Radomiak Radom v Lech Poznań
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Radomiak Radom (Casa)
Previsione 22.99%4.35quota equa
EV +3.69%
Vantaggio +0.817%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescita +0.039%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.51
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.31%22.91%23.15%24.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.953.904.5127.78%25.32%25.64%22.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Lech Poznań (Trasferta)
Previsione 53.34%1.87quota equa
EV -4.52%
Vantaggio -2.52%
Kelly -5.72%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.30%53.41%53.26%55.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.731.731.7962.50%57.97%57.80%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 23.67%4.23quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -0.546%
Kelly -0.721%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.13
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.77%23.68%23.59%24.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.873.904.1329.41%25.86%25.64%24.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.31%EV +3.69%E +0.817%K +1.05%G +0.039% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.60%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.09%EV -5.57%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 18:04 |
| BetUS | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -2.29%E -0.539%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.01%EV -8.65%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| DraftKings | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -9.85%E -5.83%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 17:49 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 17:25 |
| 1xBet | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -5.05%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.13%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -2.26%E -0.546%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.74%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.74%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:05 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 08:20 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:25 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Casumo | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| betPARX | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.34%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.76%EV -14.65%E -9.16%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -14.80%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-16 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.47%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -10.38%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 17:48 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -13.58%E -8.39%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -13.58%E -8.39%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.53%E -5.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.30%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.72%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.33%EV -13.05%E -8.01%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.39%EV -10.38%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 17:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |