La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Radomiak Radom v Lech Poznań
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Predicción 22.99%4.35momio equitativo
EV +3.69%
Ventaja +0.817%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.039%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.31%22.91%23.15%24.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.953.904.5127.78%25.32%25.64%22.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lech Poznań (Visitante)
Predicción 53.34%1.87momio equitativo
EV -4.52%
Ventaja -2.52%
Kelly -5.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.30%53.41%53.26%55.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.731.731.7962.50%57.97%57.80%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.67%4.23momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.546%
Kelly -0.721%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.77%23.68%23.59%24.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.873.904.1329.41%25.86%25.64%24.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.31%EV +3.69%E +0.817%K +1.05%G +0.039% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.60%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.09%EV -5.57%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 18:04 |
| BetUS | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -2.29%E -0.539%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.01%EV -8.65%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| DraftKings | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -9.85%E -5.83%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 17:49 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 17:25 |
| 1xBet | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -5.05%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.13%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -2.26%E -0.546%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.74%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.74%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:05 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 08:20 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:25 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Casumo | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| betPARX | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.34%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.76%EV -14.65%E -9.16%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -14.80%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-16 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.47%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -10.38%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 17:48 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -13.58%E -8.39%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -13.58%E -8.39%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.53%E -5.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.30%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.72%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.33%EV -13.05%E -8.01%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.39%EV -10.38%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 17:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |