Szkoła Kursów

Radomiak Radom v Lech Poznań

Początek: 2026-05-16 18:15 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Radomiak Radom 1–3 Lech Poznań

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Radomiak Radom (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 22.99%4.35kurs godziwy
EV +3.69%
Przewaga +0.817%
Kelly +1.05%
Wzrost +0.039%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.51

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.31%22.91%23.15%24.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.603.953.904.5127.78%25.32%25.64%22.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Lech Poznań (Goście)

Prognoza 53.34%1.87kurs godziwy
EV -4.52%
Przewaga -2.52%
Kelly -5.72%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.79

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.30%53.41%53.26%55.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.601.731.731.7962.50%57.97%57.80%55.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.67%4.23kurs godziwy
EV -2.26%
Przewaga -0.546%
Kelly -0.721%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.13

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.77%23.68%23.59%24.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.403.873.904.1329.41%25.86%25.64%24.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle4.51I 22.17%NM 21.31%EV +3.69%E +0.817%K +1.05%G +0.039%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.60%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.09%EV -5.57%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 18:10
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 17:30
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 18:04
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 18:05
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -2.29%E -0.539%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.01%EV -8.65%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 18:10
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:50
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -9.85%E -5.83%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 17:49
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:10
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:10
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:10
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 17:25
1xBet4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -5.05%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.13%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -2.26%E -0.546%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 18:10
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.74%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:10
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.74%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:10
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:05
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 18:05
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 08:20
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 17:25
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 17:50
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 17:50
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:45
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:45
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:45
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:45
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:45
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:45
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:45
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 17:10
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 17:10
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 18:00
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 17:45
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 17:10
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 18:05
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.34%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.76%EV -14.65%E -9.16%K -24.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -14.80%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-16 17:54
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 17:45
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 17:50
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 17:10
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 16:40
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 17:10
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:05
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.47%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 17:45
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 17:45
Betclic (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -10.38%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 17:48
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -13.58%E -8.39%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -13.58%E -8.39%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.53%E -5.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-16 18:05
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.30%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 18:05
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.72%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.33%EV -13.05%E -8.01%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 17:49
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.39%EV -10.38%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 17:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20%0.2%2026-05-16 18:10
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.6%2026-05-16 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-05-16 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-05-16 18:00
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80%0.8%2026-05-16 18:05
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-05-16 18:10