L’École des cotesRadomiak Radom v Lech Poznań
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Prévision 22.99%4.35cote équitable
EV +3.69%
Avantage +0.817%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.039%
avec la cote maximale 4.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.31%22.91%23.15%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.953.904.5127.78%25.32%25.64%22.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lech Poznań (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.34%1.87cote équitable
EV -4.52%
Avantage -2.52%
Kelly -5.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.30%53.41%53.26%55.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.731.731.7962.50%57.97%57.80%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.67%4.23cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.546%
Kelly -0.721%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.77%23.68%23.59%24.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.873.904.1329.41%25.86%25.64%24.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.31%EV +3.69%E +0.817%K +1.05%G +0.039% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.60%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.09%EV -5.57%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 18:04 |
| BetUS | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -2.29%E -0.539%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.01%EV -8.65%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| DraftKings | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -9.85%E -5.83%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 17:49 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 17:25 |
| 1xBet | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -5.05%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.13%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -2.26%E -0.546%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.74%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.74%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:05 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 08:20 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:25 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Casumo | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| betPARX | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.34%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.76%EV -14.65%E -9.16%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -14.80%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-16 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 17:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.47%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -10.38%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 17:48 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -13.58%E -8.39%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -13.58%E -8.39%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.53%E -5.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.30%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.72%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.33%EV -13.05%E -8.01%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.39%EV -10.38%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 17:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:05 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 18:10 |