مدرسة الاحتمالات

Radomiak Radom v Lech Poznań

البداية: 2026-05-16 18:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Radomiak Radom 1–3 Lech Poznań

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Radomiak Radom (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.99%4.35السعر العادل
EV +3.69%
الأفضلية +0.817%
Kelly +1.05%
النمو +0.039%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.31%22.91%23.15%24.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.953.904.5127.78%25.32%25.64%22.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lech Poznań (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.34%1.87السعر العادل
EV -4.52%
الأفضلية -2.52%
Kelly -5.72%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.30%53.41%53.26%55.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.731.731.7962.50%57.97%57.80%55.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.67%4.23السعر العادل
EV -2.26%
الأفضلية -0.546%
Kelly -0.721%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.77%23.68%23.59%24.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.873.904.1329.41%25.86%25.64%24.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle4.51I 22.17%NM 21.31%EV +3.69%E +0.817%K +1.05%G +0.039%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.60%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.09%EV -5.57%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 18:10
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 17:30
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 18:04
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -1.14%E -0.266%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 18:05
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -2.29%E -0.539%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.01%EV -8.65%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 18:10
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:50
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -9.85%E -5.83%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 17:49
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:10
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:10
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:10
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.44%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 17:25
1xBet4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -5.05%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.13%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -2.26%E -0.546%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 18:10
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.74%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:10
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.74%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:10
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:05
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 18:05
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 08:20
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 17:25
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 17:50
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.04%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 17:50
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:45
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.19%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:45
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:45
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:45
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:45
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:45
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:45
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 17:10
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 17:10
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.34%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 18:00
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 17:45
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 17:10
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 18:05
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.34%EV -11.49%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.76%EV -14.65%E -9.16%K -24.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -14.80%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-16 17:54
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 17:45
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 17:50
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.64%E -3.33%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 17:10
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 16:40
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 17:10
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.25%E -4.80%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:05
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.47%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 17:45
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.32%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 17:45
Betclic (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -10.38%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 17:48
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -13.58%E -8.39%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.79%E -3.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -13.58%E -8.39%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.53%E -5.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-16 18:05
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.30%EV -8.78%E -5.14%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 18:05
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.72%EV -10.92%E -6.54%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -14.94%E -4.04%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.33%EV -13.05%E -8.01%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 17:49
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.39%EV -10.38%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 17:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20%0.2%2026-05-16 18:10
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.6%2026-05-16 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-05-16 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-05-16 18:00
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80%0.8%2026-05-16 18:05
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-05-16 18:10