The School of Odds

Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin

2026-08-02 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Prediction 59.24%1.69fair odd
EV -6.40%
Edge -4.05%
Kelly -11.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.72%59.26%59.17%60.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.571.5867.11%64.53%63.69%63.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Zagłębie Lubin (Visit)

Prediction 17.19%5.82fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.238%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.10%17.14%17.29%18.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.755.315.305.7521.05%18.83%18.87%17.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.57%4.24fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.243%
Kelly -0.319%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%23.61%23.54%24.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.533.863.884.2028.33%25.91%25.81%23.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -1.13%E -0.197%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.02%E -0.243%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 17:20
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 59.58%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.05%EV -5.09%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.36%EV -5.03%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 18:25
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.87%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 17:20
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.87%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 17:20
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.51%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -10.59%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.51%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -10.59%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 17:20
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.76%EV -3.88%E -0.695%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -6.21%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 17:30
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 17:25
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -6.91%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 19:50
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:15
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 17:20
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.42%EV -8.77%E -5.70%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.32%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.77%E -5.70%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -15.75%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-27 17:25
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.36%E -6.12%K -17.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 17:20
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 17:20
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.09%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 19:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.89%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.33%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -12.80%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-27 17:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-27 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.77%EV -15.75%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.19%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-27 17:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.72%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -18.33%E -3.86%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.05%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-27 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 57.93%EV -11.73%E -7.88%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.62%EV -15.75%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.45%EV -16.81%E -4.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-27 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%13.1%2026-07-27 17:26