Language:English
Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Prediction 56.44%1.77fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.64%56.60%56.39%58.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.611.7466.67%62.07%62.11%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zagłębie Lubin (Visit)
Prediction 18.39%5.44fair odd
EV +4.46%
Edge +0.785%
Kelly +0.953%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 5.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.57%18.24%18.45%20.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.075.005.6822.22%19.71%20.00%17.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.17%3.97fair odd
EV +0.688%
Edge +0.172%
Kelly +0.229%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.80%25.16%25.16%26.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.654.0029.41%27.22%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Legia Warszawa (Local): 56.44%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visit): 18.39%; Draw: 25.17%. For Zagłębie Lubin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.44. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.06%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.87%EV +4.46%E +0.785%K +0.953%G +0.042% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.08%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.35%EV -10.26%E -6.46%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +2.99%E +0.533%K +0.649%G +0.019% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV +1.15%E +0.209%K +0.255%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.31%E -3.80%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.31%E -3.80%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.66%EV -11.96%E -7.67%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.688%E +0.172%K +0.229%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -13.09%E -8.50%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.53%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -8.37%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.65%EV -15.34%E -10.23%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.25%EV -6.21%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-29 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 12:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.14%E -5.67%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-02 12:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.89%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.16%EV -10.83%E -6.85%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -9.89%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -10.81%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -10.81%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -11.73%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 12:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.45%EV -10.83%E -6.85%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -12.64%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.64%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -1.80%E -1.03%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.12%EV -13.01%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -11.96%E -7.67%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -13.56%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -13.56%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -13.16%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.75%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.41%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 12:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -17.24%E -3.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
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