L’École des cotes

Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin

2026-08-02 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Résultat du match

24 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Prévision 59.24%1.69cote équitable
EV -6.40%
Avantage -4.05%
Kelly -11.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.72%59.26%59.17%60.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.551.571.5867.11%64.53%63.69%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.19%5.82cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.197%
Kelly -0.238%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.10%17.14%17.29%18.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.315.305.7521.05%18.83%18.87%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.57%4.24cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.243%
Kelly -0.319%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.79%23.61%23.54%24.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.533.863.884.2028.33%25.91%25.81%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -1.13%E -0.197%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.02%E -0.243%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 17:20
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 59.58%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.05%EV -5.09%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.36%EV -5.03%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 18:25
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.87%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 17:20
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.87%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 17:20
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.51%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -10.59%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.51%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -10.59%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 17:20
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.76%EV -3.88%E -0.695%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -6.21%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 17:30
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 17:25
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -6.91%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 19:50
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:15
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 17:20
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.42%EV -8.77%E -5.70%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.32%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.77%E -5.70%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -15.75%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-27 17:25
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.36%E -6.12%K -17.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 17:20
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 17:20
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.09%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 19:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.89%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.33%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -12.80%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-27 17:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-27 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.77%EV -15.75%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.19%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-27 17:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.72%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -18.33%E -3.86%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.05%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-27 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 57.93%EV -11.73%E -7.88%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.62%EV -15.75%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.45%EV -16.81%E -4.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-27 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%13.1%2026-07-27 17:26