Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 12:45 UTC

Score final : Legia Warszawa 3–1 Zagłębie Lubin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Prévision 56.44%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.64%56.60%56.39%58.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.611.611.7466.67%62.07%62.11%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.39%5.44cote équitable
EV +4.46%
Avantage +0.785%
Kelly +0.953%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 5.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.57%18.24%18.45%20.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.075.005.6822.22%19.71%20.00%17.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.17%3.97cote équitable
EV +0.688%
Avantage +0.172%
Kelly +0.229%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.80%25.16%25.16%26.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.673.654.0029.41%27.22%27.40%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Legia Warszawa (Local) : 56.44% ; Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur) : 18.39% ; Match nul : 25.17%. Pour Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.44. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.68, soit une espérance positive de +4.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.06%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.87%EV +4.46%E +0.785%K +0.953%G +0.042%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.08%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.35%EV -10.26%E -6.46%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +2.99%E +0.533%K +0.649%G +0.019%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV +1.15%E +0.209%K +0.255%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:34
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:05
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:04
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.31%E -3.80%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.31%E -3.80%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 12:34
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.66%EV -11.96%E -7.67%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 12:35
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.688%E +0.172%K +0.229%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-02 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -13.09%E -8.50%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 12:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.53%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -8.37%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:38
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.65%EV -15.34%E -10.23%K -30.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.25%EV -6.21%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-29 03:04
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:35
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:40
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.14%E -5.67%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 12:34
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.89%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.16%EV -10.83%E -6.85%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -9.89%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 12:34
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -10.81%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -10.81%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:40
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -11.73%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:39
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.45%EV -10.83%E -6.85%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -12.64%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 12:34
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.64%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-02 12:30
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -1.80%E -1.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.12%EV -13.01%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -11.96%E -7.67%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -13.56%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 12:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -13.56%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -13.16%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-02 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.75%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 12:40
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.41%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 12:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -17.24%E -3.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89%0.4%2026-08-02 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-02 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-02 12:40
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-02 12:40
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-08-02 12:35
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-08-02 12:40