StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-02 12:45 UTC

Endstand: Legia Warszawa 3–1 Zagłębie Lubin

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Legia Warszawa (Heim)

Prognose 56.44%1.77faire Quote
EV -1.80%
Vorteil -1.03%
Kelly -2.43%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.64%56.60%56.39%58.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.611.611.7466.67%62.07%62.11%57.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Zagłębie Lubin (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.39%5.44faire Quote
EV +4.46%
Vorteil +0.785%
Kelly +0.953%
Wachstum +0.042%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.57%18.24%18.45%20.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.075.005.6822.22%19.71%20.00%17.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.17%3.97faire Quote
EV +0.688%
Vorteil +0.172%
Kelly +0.229%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.80%25.16%25.16%26.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.403.673.654.0029.41%27.22%27.40%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Legia Warszawa (Heim): 56.44%; Zagłębie Lubin (Auswärts): 18.39%; Unentschieden: 25.17%. Für Zagłębie Lubin (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.44. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.68 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.46%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.06%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.87%EV +4.46%E +0.785%K +0.953%G +0.042%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.08%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.35%EV -10.26%E -6.46%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +2.99%E +0.533%K +0.649%G +0.019%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV +1.15%E +0.209%K +0.255%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:34
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:05
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:04
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.31%E -3.80%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.31%E -3.80%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 12:34
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.66%EV -11.96%E -7.67%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 12:35
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.688%E +0.172%K +0.229%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-02 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -13.09%E -8.50%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 12:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.53%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -8.37%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:38
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.65%EV -15.34%E -10.23%K -30.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.25%EV -6.21%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-29 03:04
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:35
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:40
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.14%E -5.67%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 12:34
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.89%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.16%EV -10.83%E -6.85%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -9.89%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 12:34
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -10.81%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -10.81%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:40
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -11.73%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:39
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.45%EV -10.83%E -6.85%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -12.64%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 12:34
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.64%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-02 12:30
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -1.80%E -1.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.12%EV -13.01%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -11.96%E -7.67%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -13.56%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 12:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -13.56%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -13.16%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-02 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.75%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 12:40
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.41%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 12:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -17.24%E -3.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 12:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89%0.4%2026-08-02 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-02 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-02 12:40
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-02 12:40
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-08-02 12:35
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-08-02 12:40