Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin

Inizio: 2026-08-02 12:45 UTC

Finale: Legia Warszawa 3–1 Zagłębie Lubin

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Legia Warszawa (Casa)

Previsione 56.44%1.77quota equa
EV -1.80%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.64%56.60%56.39%58.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.611.611.7466.67%62.07%62.11%57.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Zagłębie Lubin (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.39%5.44quota equa
EV +4.46%
Vantaggio +0.785%
Kelly +0.953%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.57%18.24%18.45%20.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.075.005.6822.22%19.71%20.00%17.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.17%3.97quota equa
EV +0.688%
Vantaggio +0.172%
Kelly +0.229%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.80%25.16%25.16%26.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.673.654.0029.41%27.22%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Legia Warszawa (Casa): 56.44%; Zagłębie Lubin (Trasferta): 18.39%; Pareggio: 25.17%. Per Zagłębie Lubin (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.44. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.68, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.46%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.06%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.87%EV +4.46%E +0.785%K +0.953%G +0.042%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.08%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.35%EV -10.26%E -6.46%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +2.99%E +0.533%K +0.649%G +0.019%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV +1.15%E +0.209%K +0.255%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:34
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:05
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:04
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.31%E -3.80%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.31%E -3.80%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 12:34
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.66%EV -11.96%E -7.67%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 12:35
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.688%E +0.172%K +0.229%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-02 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -13.09%E -8.50%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 12:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.53%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -8.37%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:38
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.65%EV -15.34%E -10.23%K -30.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.25%EV -6.21%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-29 03:04
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:35
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:40
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.14%E -5.67%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 12:34
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.89%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.16%EV -10.83%E -6.85%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -9.89%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 12:34
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -10.81%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -10.81%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:40
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -11.73%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:39
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.45%EV -10.83%E -6.85%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -12.64%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 12:34
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.64%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-02 12:30
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -1.80%E -1.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.12%EV -13.01%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -11.96%E -7.67%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -13.56%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 12:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -13.56%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -13.16%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-02 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.75%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 12:40
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.41%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 12:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -17.24%E -3.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 12:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89%0.4%2026-08-02 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-02 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-02 12:40
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-02 12:40
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-08-02 12:35
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-08-02 12:40