La scuola delle quote

Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin

2026-08-02 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

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24 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Casa)

Previsione 59.24%1.69quota equa
EV -6.40%
Vantaggio -4.05%
Kelly -11.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.72%59.26%59.17%60.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.491.551.571.5867.11%64.53%63.69%63.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zagłębie Lubin (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.19%5.82quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.197%
Kelly -0.238%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.10%17.14%17.29%18.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.315.305.7521.05%18.83%18.87%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.57%4.24quota equa
EV -1.02%
Vantaggio -0.243%
Kelly -0.319%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.79%23.61%23.54%24.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.533.863.884.2028.33%25.91%25.81%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -1.13%E -0.197%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.02%E -0.243%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 17:20
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 59.58%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.05%EV -5.09%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.36%EV -5.03%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 18:25
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.87%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 17:20
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.87%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 17:20
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.51%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -10.59%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.51%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -10.59%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 17:20
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.76%EV -3.88%E -0.695%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -6.21%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 17:30
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 17:25
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -6.91%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 19:50
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.99%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:15
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 17:20
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.42%EV -8.77%E -5.70%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.32%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.77%E -5.70%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -15.75%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-27 17:25
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.36%E -6.12%K -17.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 17:20
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 17:20
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.09%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 19:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.89%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.33%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -12.80%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-27 17:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-27 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.77%EV -15.75%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.19%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-27 17:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.72%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -18.33%E -3.86%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.05%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-27 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 57.93%EV -11.73%E -7.88%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.62%EV -15.75%E -3.21%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.45%EV -16.81%E -4.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-27 17:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%13.1%2026-07-27 17:26