Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin

Początek: 2026-08-02 12:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Legia Warszawa 3–1 Zagłębie Lubin

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Legia Warszawa (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.44%1.77kurs godziwy
EV -1.80%
Przewaga -1.03%
Kelly -2.43%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.74

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.64%56.60%56.39%58.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.611.611.7466.67%62.07%62.11%57.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Zagłębie Lubin (Goście)

Prognoza 18.39%5.44kurs godziwy
EV +4.46%
Przewaga +0.785%
Kelly +0.953%
Wzrost +0.042%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.57%18.24%18.45%20.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.075.005.6822.22%19.71%20.00%17.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.17%3.97kurs godziwy
EV +0.688%
Przewaga +0.172%
Kelly +0.229%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.80%25.16%25.16%26.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.403.673.654.0029.41%27.22%27.40%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Legia Warszawa (Gospodarze): 56.44%; Zagłębie Lubin (Goście): 18.39%; Remis: 25.17%. Dla wyniku Zagłębie Lubin (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.44. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.68, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.46%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.06%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.87%EV +4.46%E +0.785%K +0.953%G +0.042%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.08%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.35%EV -10.26%E -6.46%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +2.99%E +0.533%K +0.649%G +0.019%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV +1.15%E +0.209%K +0.255%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:34
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:05
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:04
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.31%E -3.80%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.31%E -3.80%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 12:34
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.66%EV -11.96%E -7.67%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 12:35
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.688%E +0.172%K +0.229%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-02 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -13.09%E -8.50%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 12:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.53%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -8.37%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:38
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.65%EV -15.34%E -10.23%K -30.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.25%EV -6.21%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-29 03:04
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:35
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:40
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.14%E -5.67%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 12:34
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.89%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.16%EV -10.83%E -6.85%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -9.89%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 12:34
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -10.81%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -10.81%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:40
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -11.73%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 12:39
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.45%EV -10.83%E -6.85%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -12.64%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 12:34
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.64%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-02 12:30
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -1.80%E -1.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.12%EV -13.01%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -11.96%E -7.67%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -13.56%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 12:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -13.56%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -13.16%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-02 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.75%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 12:40
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.41%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 12:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -17.24%E -3.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 12:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89%0.4%2026-08-02 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-02 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-02 12:40
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-08-02 12:40
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-08-02 12:35
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-08-02 12:40