Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.68
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Legia Warszawa (Local): 56.44%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante): 18.39%; Empate: 25.17%. Para Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.44. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.68, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.46%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.06%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.87%EV +4.46%E +0.785%K +0.953%G +0.042% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.08%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.35%EV -10.26%E -6.46%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +2.99%E +0.533%K +0.649%G +0.019% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV +1.15%E +0.209%K +0.255%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -0.691%E -0.128%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.31%E -3.80%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.31%E -3.80%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.66%EV -11.96%E -7.67%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -2.53%E -0.477%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.688%E +0.172%K +0.229%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -13.09%E -8.50%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -3.45%E -0.657%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.53%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -8.37%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.02%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -5.29%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.65%EV -15.34%E -10.23%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.25%EV -6.21%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-29 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.70%E -6.06%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 12:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.14%E -5.67%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.05%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-02 12:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.89%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.16%EV -10.83%E -6.85%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -9.89%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -10.81%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.80%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -10.81%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -11.73%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 12:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.45%EV -10.83%E -6.85%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -12.64%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -11.39%E -7.26%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.64%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -1.80%E -1.03%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.12%EV -13.01%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -11.96%E -7.67%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -13.56%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -12.52%E -8.08%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -13.56%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -13.16%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.75%EV -7.44%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -15.40%E -3.35%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.41%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 12:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -8.57%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -17.24%E -3.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.72% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |