Language:English
Legia Warszawa v Widzew Łódź
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Prediction 47.67%2.10fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.79%47.74%47.43%49.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.941.952.0556.18%51.52%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Widzew Łódź (Visit)
Prediction 22.88%4.37fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +0.661%
Kelly +0.850%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.85%22.83%22.98%25.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.903.904.5029.41%25.65%25.64%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.45%3.40fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.857%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.17%29.43%29.59%31.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.133.153.3034.72%31.92%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Legia Warszawa (Local): 47.67%; Widzew Łódź (Visit): 22.88%; Draw: 29.45%. For Widzew Łódź (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +0.685%E +0.156%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -1.60%E -0.373%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -1.60%E -0.373%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -2.75%E -0.646%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.54%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.75%E -0.646%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 18:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.25%EV -6.56%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -7.32%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 17:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.38%E -5.52%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.04%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.50%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.12%EV -15.15%E -8.51%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.34%EV -14.02%E -4.80%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.35%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.43%EV -13.50%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.22%EV -10.78%E -3.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -14.19%E -3.78%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -15.33%E -4.14%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -11.33%E -6.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -12.76%E -6.97%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -15.20%E -5.28%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -6.09%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -6.56%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -19.91%E -5.69%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.04%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -21.05%E -6.10%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -22.20%E -6.53%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.78% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.21% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.02% | 2.5% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |