A Escola das Odds

Legia Warszawa v Widzew Łódź

Início: 2026-05-01 18:30 UTC

Final: Legia Warszawa 1–0 Widzew Łódź

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Previsão 47.67%2.10odd justa
EV -2.27%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.79%47.74%47.43%49.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.941.952.0556.18%51.52%51.28%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Widzew Łódź (Visitante)

Previsão 22.88%4.37odd justa
EV +2.97%
Vantagem +0.661%
Kelly +0.850%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.85%22.83%22.98%25.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.903.904.5029.41%25.65%25.64%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.45%3.40odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -0.857%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.17%29.43%29.59%31.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.133.153.3034.72%31.92%31.75%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 18:15
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:24
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:25
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:24
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +0.685%E +0.156%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 17:40
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -1.60%E -0.373%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:25
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -1.60%E -0.373%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 17:29
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -2.75%E -0.646%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 18:15
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 48.54%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.75%E -0.646%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 18:23
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 18:05
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 17:54
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 17:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 17:39
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.25%EV -6.56%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -7.32%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 17:38
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.38%E -5.52%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.04%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 18:25
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 17:40
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 17:39
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 17:45
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 17:45
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 18:14
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 18:10
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 17:55
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 17:39
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 17:45
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.50%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-01 18:05
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 17:24
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.12%EV -15.15%E -8.51%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.34%EV -14.02%E -4.80%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-01 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.35%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.43%EV -13.50%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.22%EV -10.78%E -3.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-01 18:00
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -14.19%E -3.78%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:05
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -15.33%E -4.14%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 17:45
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 17:45
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 17:45
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 17:45
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -11.33%E -6.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 17:39
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 17:44
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 17:45
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 17:44
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 17:45
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -12.76%E -6.97%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -15.20%E -5.28%K -8.08%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-01 17:24
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 17:45
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -6.09%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 17:45
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -6.56%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -19.91%E -5.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 17:45
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 46.04%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -21.05%E -6.10%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-01 17:45
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -22.20%E -6.53%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 17:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44%2.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-05-01 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.02%2.5%2026-05-01 18:25